I think they will go 7-5 maybe even 8-4. Having an elite QB is that valuable to your W/L record. Much easier schedule for them this year too.
My only question is does Deion get to a point where his assistants can do all the work and crank out a 9-3 every year for him (in the Big 12)?
I think that's his dream - get the program to a point where it rolls along on auto pilot withoit him and he can spend all his time doing AFLAC commercials and ESPN live hits during the week. There's a world where they are able to build that up - that just requires a ton of work by his assistants. And that requires the Deion brand to do a ton of heavy lifting (he won't do if himself).
I think there's a scenario where that could happen - I just don't know how likely it is. If he keeps burning through assistant coaches like a coordinator and 2-3 other changes every yr then it probably won't work.
I'm not counting him out because there IS a possibility it works. It's just really hard to get an elite CFB program going to where it runs without the HC doing any work. I'd normally say 0% chance of it working but this would be the 1 out of 1,000,000 where it could work. I just think it's slim odds, like maybe 20% (success would be: he can get a 9-3 B12 program going for the next 5 seasons).