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Are we in a recession yet?
I don't know who can say we are not. Unless we are changing the definition of a recession.......again
My brokerage account sure is 🙁
Case-Shiller looks like it's just past peak now and just broke seasonal trend, but a 20% drop in 9 months seems like...maybe a bit high? That would mean we are going to see a near identical trend in home prices as the 2008 crash.US housing recession could send home prices tumbling 20%, economist says
The U.S. housing market is in a recession, and prices are likely to plunge 20% over the next year as rising mortgage rates take their toll on consumer demand.www.foxbusiness.com
Yeah 20% in the next 9 months seems very extreme. Inventory levels are just getting to the realm of normal.Counterpoint:
3 charts showing that we’re not repeating the housing bubble: Morning Brief
What to watch in markets on Tuesday, September 27, 2022.finance.yahoo.com
Thought this was an interesting chart. The Millennials doing most of the buying in the last few years have way better credit scores than the Gen Xers in the 00s did. I remember my managerial accounting prof remarking that she saw a big difference in credit card usage and responsibility between Gen X college students vs Millennials. I suspect that another big factor is Millennials weren't able to buy until a later age than previous generations.
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