I see them in the 7-5/8-4 zone. I think their Big 12 opponents are generally slightly worse than their Pac 12 opponents last year.
I think there's basically 2 scenarios:
1 - they start 2-0. if they do that they could well go 9-3. Their roster is better than last year so they'll deal with the injury pile-up better than 2023.
2 - they start 1-1 w loss to either NDSU or NU. If they start this way they're probably looking at 6-6 as their ceiling. Early season loss like that really hurts the Prime 'mystique'. And this program relies on that mystique/swagger to live. So if that dies in SEPT, it's gonna be a long season.