Stock Market/Investing/Day Trading/Speculative Trading Thread

[Pepe Silvia]

It's been interesting watch VIX these past few months, and especially the past few weeks as volatility has had the everloving shit shorted out of it. there's a lot of good opportunities to go long on volatility right now

 

[Toe]

Panera founder says employees aren't motivated by the idea of making money for shareholders: 'Nobody cares'

Panera's founder says "therapists belong in the C-Suite" and can help CEOs understand workers' motivations.

www.businessinsider.com

 

[BingoDingo]

Panera founder says employees aren't motivated by the idea of making money for shareholders: 'Nobody cares'

Panera's founder says "therapists belong in the C-Suite" and can help CEOs understand workers' motivations.

www.businessinsider.com

It is interesting that Panera announced their IPO again earlier in the month...feels like a simple fix would be share distribution to employees...just make 'em shareholders. It's all coming together for Panera...

 

[jaihawk]

It is interesting that Panera announced their IPO again earlier in the month...feels like a simple fix would be share distribution to employees...just make 'em shareholders. It's all coming together for Panera...

I'd love to see Panera put in place a profit sharing program for the employees and then watch the looks on their faces as they discover what happens when you implement all of the workers' pie in the sky ideas that reduce profit... 🙂

 

[BingoDingo]

I'd love to see Panera put in place a profit sharing program for the employees and then watch the looks on their faces as they discover what happens when you implement all of the workers' pie in the sky ideas that reduce profit... 🙂

I was thinking more of an ESPP. Even if they went further - unless those pie in the sky ideas involve mergers or liquidation, their ESOP voting rights are pretty limited, lol. I doubt companies offering these plans put entry level employees on their boards, so it's probably not a big deal.

 

[BingoDingo]

 

[Faux Sean Callahan]

 

[BingoDingo]

The 10Y is gonna fall under 4%...wowza! Boi-oi-oi-oing.

 

[Frogsker30]

So im as dumb as dumb can get in investing. I have an IRA that I got from rolling over my 401k from my old job. I thought it was a roth but turns out its traditional. I havent put anything else in it but it does have a significant amount for a 27 y/o. Anyway question on the table is should I move that to a roth like I thought I had (I believe id get taxed?), leave it there, or open a roth and start putting money in there and keep the traditional. FWIW I work with a employer that's is a pension plan which is why I moved my 401k to and IRA.



Yes I am dumb as shit on this.

 

[BradWesley]

It's been interesting watch VIX these past few months, and especially the past few weeks as volatility has had the everloving shit shorted out of it. there's a lot of good opportunities to go long on volatility right now

What is the best way to go long on the VIX? Sorry. Just learning about the importance of volatility.

 

[Jim14510]

So im as dumb as dumb can get in investing. I have an IRA that I got from rolling over my 401k from my old job. I thought it was a roth but turns out its traditional. I havent put anything else in it but it does have a significant amount for a 27 y/o. Anyway question on the table is should I move that to a roth like I thought I had (I believe id get taxed?), leave it there, or open a roth and start putting money in there and keep the traditional. FWIW I work with a employer that's is a pension plan which is why I moved my 401k to and IRA.



Yes I am dumb as shit on this.

I don't think you're going to get a real substantive answer here. Lot of variables. Generally speaking I don't like the Roth conversion but there are definitely places it makes sense. Assuming your income is low enough to make Roth contributions I'd say just do that every year.

 

[KidsSeeGhosts]

I was thinking more of an ESPP. Even if they went further - unless those pie in the sky ideas involve mergers or liquidation, their ESOP voting rights are pretty limited, lol. I doubt companies offering these plans put entry level employees on their boards, so it's probably not a big deal.

It’s surprisingly hard to get people to participate in an ESPP, even though they’re usually designed to be basically free money. You can do a DSP or mass RSU grant at IPO tho

 

[Pepe Silvia]

What is the best way to go long on the VIX? Sorry. Just learning about the importance of volatility.

VIX options are a scam, so definitely not those. there's some VIX-related etfs like UVXY, but the best return is going to be buying some long-dated far out of the money index options. you'd want 6-12 months to expiration and a delta under .10. SPX/SPY/QQQ puts would be the best play. you'd also probably want to hedge with some short term call exposure in case this pump keeps going. I have June SPY 400 puts right now

I opened this up when VIX hit it's low on Tuesday and the puts are down 10% due to JPow, but the call hedge has the overall position up almost 20% even with it going against me. to see how the profitability changes with volatility increasing, slide the implied volatility slider up to 25% (VIX reverts to mean at roughly 25%) or 35% (VIX to about 20)

SPY Dec 29th - Jun 21st '24 400/460 Custom | OptionStrat

View my options strategy on OptionStrat

optionstrat.com

 

[BradWesley]

VIX options are a scam, so definitely not those. there's some VIX-related etfs like UVXY, but the best return is going to be buying some long-dated far out of the money index options. you'd want 6-12 months to expiration and a delta under .10. SPX/SPY/QQQ puts would be the best play. you'd also probably want to hedge with some short term call exposure in case this pump keeps going. I have June SPY 400 puts right now

I opened this up when VIX hit it's low on Tuesday and the puts are down 10% due to JPow, but the call hedge has the overall position up almost 20% even with it going against me. to see how the profitability changes with volatility increasing, slide the implied volatility slider up to 25% (VIX reverts to mean at roughly 25%) or 35% (VIX to about 20)

SPY Dec 29th - Jun 21st '24 400/460 Custom | OptionStrat

View my options strategy on OptionStrat

optionstrat.com

Great stuff. Thanks!

 

[Toe]

Just when we thought were through all the global supply chain/shipping shit...

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/18/how-houthi-attacks-in-red-sea-threaten-global-supply-chain.html

Plus shipping through the Panama Canal has been slowed due to drought conditions, although that has improved somewhat in the last couple weeks.

 

[BingoDingo]

This would be cool...

 

[God is a Husker]

It is interesting that Panera announced their IPO again earlier in the month...feels like a simple fix would be share distribution to employees...just make 'em shareholders. It's all coming together for Panera...

It’s surprisingly hard to get people to participate in an ESPP, even though they’re usually designed to be basically free money. You can do a DSP or mass RSU grant at IPO tho

I wonder if Panera kicked the tires on staying private but still offering employee stock ownership plans like Hy-Vee.


I also wonder if there was ever preliminary back door M&A discussions with McDonalds. You would think McDonald's would have at minimum attempted to see if it was an option rather than starting their new "CosMc" brand. (which I think is gonna fail)

 

[God is a Husker]

ask your local cpa or tax attorney.. if you don't have a local guy, there is a guy online that I'd recommend. He is both a cpa and tax attorney. His name is Mark Kohler.. https://www.youtube.com/@MarkJKohler

 

[Faux Sean Callahan]

Thought this was interesting

 

[BingoDingo]

Thought this was interesting

Seems like implementing cumbersome policy to fix a problem that maybe or maybe doesn't exist, but has basically resolved itself as oil prices have subsided is pretty standard California legislator behavior. Though, no one is building new refineries and no one is really doing cap investments outside of maintenance and fitting , so it probably won't have a sizeable impact on anyone other than the poor analysts who have to develop state mandated reporting, lol.