They need to win these next two weeks to have the most realistic shot at 6 wins, but they could probably still drop the Baylor game. Arizona, Cincinnati, TTech, and KU are all winnable. And no games on their schedule are a certain loss... they do not face any elite teams.
vs NDSU (W)
@ Nebraska (L)
@ CSU (W)
vs Baylor
@ UCF
vs KSt
@ Arizona
vs Cincinnati
@ Texas Tech
vs Utah
@ Kansas
vs Okie St
I'm probably in the minority here, but I think they are better than they were last year. Their defense is markedly better. Their Oline is still a trainwreck and they need to commit to running the ball 35% to 40% of their snaps even if they suck at it. It's the only way they will keep Shadildo upright.
Edit... Shadildo and Shiloh are both douchenozzles, just to be clear. Don't want anyone thinking I support their antics. Win with class and lose with class. It ain't that hard.