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Jobs report: 303K new jobs. Rate cut hopes are fading ...
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Sign Up Now!Yields sort of suck...
It makes YUGE sense to get Taiwan Semiconductor expertise, equipment & manufacturing here in the US. Having 100% of the most advanced chip manufacturing in the world under China’s watchful eye is potentially a very serious thing for the rest of the world. Get it done yesterday, please.
Yields sort of suck...
I think any projection being under 3% by EOY(the consensus about an hour ago) is pretty much gone now. We may see some seasonality get us close in Oct/Nov possibly, but yeah...pretty much gonna be above 3% until maybe April/May 25? Implications on cuts? No cuts? Lol.
Those inflation #'s, tho ...
I mean.... has anybody seen a reason to cut rates?I think any projection being under 3% by EOY(the consensus about an hour ago) is pretty much gone now. We may see some seasonality get us close in Oct/Nov possibly, but yeah...pretty much gonna be above 3% until maybe April/May 25? Implications on cuts? No cuts? Lol.
Well, I mean, there are lots and lots of reasons to cut given financials and spreads, lol. Given that wages/employment/growth seem to be working against them...it's probably just slog city for the rest of the year. I'm not sure a quarter or half a point cut would have a sizeable impact on inflation, given that most of the inflation now is indemnity and cost inflation sectors who have embedded lag costs. No credit/liquidity issues, no need for cuts though...so yeah, who knows.I mean.... has anybody seen a reason to cut rates?
It feels like if they cut rates this year, they will lose their grip on inflation.
Love that gifThe Fed "managing" inflation with rate adjustments while quintupling the money supply:
View attachment 35837
Only thing I've not seen affected by inflation at all....BACON. Blows my mind.