Stock Market/Investing/Day Trading/Speculative Trading Thread

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She's a cunt.
d&d nerd GIF
 
Thoughts and opinions on these indicators? 21972.jpegcape.jpgsaupload_History-of-asset-bubbles-40-years.png
 

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Well I mean you look at the economy right now.....
  • Travel is a fraction of what it was
  • Leisure is slowly opening up
  • Then there is a supply shortage. Semiconductors, wood, etc...
I am sure there is more that I am not remembering, but I think you get the point. We are basically above pre pandemic levels without large chunks of our economy working right.

We need to get a snap back from the GDP to right the equation.

It isn't uncommon to see us have higher P/E ratios coming into a recovery period after a recession, but if we have some hiccups in recovery it will spark some volatility and panic selling.

I know the Willshire to GDP ratio is Buffetts favorite and has been very good, but we have never had an event like this. With spending like this by Govt. The leading indicator was also wrong through all of Trump's time in office.

I keep thinking there is too many things being juggled in this economy.
  • Inflation
  • Debt
  • Interest rates
  • Poor P/E Ratios
  • Nut in the white house.
  • Tax increase coming
What happens if one of those gets out of control? What if this infrastructure bill blows? Etc...
 
Cramer mentioned today that.....

We have basically a stock glut. We had the most IPO's since 2000. That doesn't mention the SPAC Craze that is going on. Now you have secondary offerings from companies that have run up that need more $$. Also, with the run of so many IPO's last year having insider selling locks expiring. They are selling at highs of their companies right now.

I know Cramer mentions a lot that this is a good indication of a bubble as there is too much supply and not enough demand to meet it.
 
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