ESPN FPI

[Faux Sean Callahan]

I think we should make a push for getting rid of kickoffs and punting. We can propose it under the guise they're the most dangerous plays in the game.

After a TD or FG the other team gets the ball at the 25. If you want to "punt" the other team gets the ball 45 yards from the line of scrimmage or the 10 yard line.

Fuck we should just go full Kevin Kelly and just never punt or kick it deep.

 

[Cornicator]

As I posted on the 24/7 board, Nebraska is going to break this computer. These algorithims are formulated by previous outcomes. Their predictive outlooks are built around historical trends and percentages at virtually every juncture of a football game.

Historically speaking, there have not been enough teams like Nebraska in 2021 to help guide the FPI. The computer has never seen such porous special teams play from a team with a top 20 defense and a top 45 offense.

 

[Baron Winnebago]

So one of the most damning analytics was we had a 24 point edge in EPA.

View attachment 4991

Expected points and EPA explained

Alok Pattani of ESPN Stats & Information Group explains ESPN's new expected points metric.

www.espn.com

Saw we're currently, through 5 games, performing 1.6 wins worse than expected.

 

[Faux Sean Callahan]

Saw we're currently, through 5 games, performing 1.6 wins worse than expected.

Yup... If we were to replay the games FPI had us winning the Illinois game something like 80%+ the time. Also, Sparty was a toss up hence the half, but I think that game shouldn't be a toss up.

Basically where FPI has us is an 8 win team if we replay this year. Which I saw they said the average top 5 team would have 9.5 wins with our schedule. That should tell you what they think about our team.

 

[Kaladin]

 

[Tell_Sackett]

Fuck we should just go full Kevin Kelly and just never punt or kick it deep.

I was just thinking about the coach that never punts today and that we should probably bring him in as an analyst.

 

[Kaladin]

We are now up to 21.

Michigan is ranked 5th.

 

[BIGSTICK67]

We are now up to 21.

Michigan is ranked 5th.

Guessing @B1G_10_Tony has something to say about this

 

[Skerz4Life50]

We are now up to 21.

Michigan is ranked 5th.

Win total was also adjusted up again to most likely being 6-6, with most likely wins over Purdoodoo, Minnesota, and Wisconsin (in order of likelihood). A toss-up game with Cockeye, and predicted losses to Ohio State and Michigan.

 

[Kaladin]

Michigan's offense is ranked 5th in efficiency, their defense is 14th, and their special teams is 1st.

Nebraska offense is ranked 27th, defense is 16th, and special teams is 128th.

On a side note, Wisconsin's special teams is ranked 129th.

 

[Ripping Lips]

Let’s be honest, Michigan’s has yet to play anyone with a pulse this year. Washington lost to a FCS school and Buttgers gave them all they can handle. Really thought Wisconsin would give them a better run for their money, but I thought they lost their QB in that game as well. Should be a good game never the least.

 

[herbsinator]

Let’s be honest, Michigan’s has yet to play anyone with a pulse this year. Washington lost to a FCS school and Buttgers gave them all they can handle. Really thought Wisconsin would give them a better run for their money, but I thought they lost their QB in that game as well. Should be a good game never the least.

Worse case scenario we’ll be the best 4 loss team in the country after next week.

 

[Kaladin]

We are now ranked 21st in FPI, up two spots.

Cockeye has fallen to 20th.

 

[dsbigred1]

We are now ranked 21st in FPI, up two spots.

Cockeyes has fallen to 20th.

Best 5 loss team in the country, and eventually the best 8-9 loss team. Happy to hang my hat on imaginary accomplishments

 

[Kaladin]

Best 5 loss team in the country, and eventually the best 8-9 loss team. Happy to hang my hat on imaginary accomplishments

It's sad. So much experience on this year's team. Should have been a great year for us.

 

[dsbigred1]

It's sad. So much experience on this year's team. Should have been a great year for us.

it's sad, you are right. Really would have been nice for some of these guys to get a taste of success here.

 

[Alcaus]

it's sad, you are right. Really would have been nice for some of these guys to get a taste of success here.

How long has it been since a class has gone their entire careers without going to a bowl?

 

[KidsSeeGhosts]

How long has it been since a class has gone their entire careers without going to a bowl?

Not in the modern era.

 

[dsbigred1]

How long has it been since a class has gone their entire careers without going to a bowl?

Since Ike was in office??

 

[Ext. 55]

How long has it been since a class has gone their entire careers without going to a bowl?

LORD…that really hit me in the feels. Brutal. Just F’ing brutal Man.