And so it begins...(tracking Coach Prime decommits/transfers) | Page 66 | The Platinum Board

And so it begins...(tracking Coach Prime decommits/transfers)

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And so it begins...(tracking Coach Prime decommits/transfers)

I get ya. And this Raiola as Neo theory might actually turn out to be correct, but I'm not factoring that into my prediction.

I will likely pick Nebraska for the following reason: we were very even with them last year (until our QB imploded) and almost every single variable that has changed from 2023 to 2024 is in Nebraska's favor.

Changes from 2023 game:
1. Home field (adv NU)
2. NU offense better (adv NU)
3. NU QB better (adv NU)
4. NU WRs way better (adv NU)
5. CU OC slightly worse (adv NU)
6. CU loses Edwards (adv NU)
7. CU mystique lessened/they went 4-8 (adv NU)
8. NU 2nd yr of a proven HC (adv NU)

I see Nebraska as the better team by maybe -7 to -8 on a Vegas score sheet. I just don't see where CU upgraded enough to change my calculation.

The only way I'd pick CU is if I was convinced that Raiola is going to contribute to 3 or more turnovers. I do think Dylan will have his share of turnovers this year but I think he'll do enough in the CU game to get the win. He'll at the very least be a big improvement from Sims. And even with Sims we were fairly even with CU until he started throwing the game to pay off his bookie. I just don't see where CU has improved enough to make me like them to win a huge road game like this.
Colorados D sucked last year and there’s no reason to think they’ll be any better

Riaola will tear them up
 
I think CU will start 4-0.

North Dakota State will have a lot of youth starting in game one.
CU will give Nebraska too many match up problems
Colorado State and Baylor are both going to suck.

I like their chances vs. Arizona and Cincinnati. They should be sitting at 6-2 by the end of October. But then I think they close the season 0-4. At 6-6, they take Vegas Bowl bid, half their starters sit out, they lose by 40 to Illinois, and then Deion resigns after a 6-7 season.

I thought at one point you had Nebraska destroying Colorado this year after figuring Colorado might win last year. What variables about this year changed things for you since then? Transfer portal additions? I've noted you highlighting their WR group and the addition of some solid pass rushers as being a likely strength for them.
 
I get ya. And this Raiola as Neo theory might actually turn out to be correct, but I'm not factoring that into my prediction.

I will likely pick Nebraska for the following reason: we were very even with them last year (until our QB imploded) and almost every single variable that has changed from 2023 to 2024 is in Nebraska's favor.

Changes from 2023 game:
1. Home field (adv NU)
2. NU offense better (adv NU)
3. NU QB better (adv NU)
4. NU WRs way better (adv NU)
5. CU OC slightly worse (adv NU)
6. CU loses Edwards (adv NU)
7. CU mystique lessened/they went 4-8 (adv NU)
8. NU 2nd yr of a proven HC (adv NU)

I see Nebraska as the better team by maybe -7 to -8 on a Vegas score sheet. I just don't see where CU upgraded enough to change my calculation.

The only way I'd pick CU is if I was convinced that Raiola is going to contribute to 3 or more turnovers. I do think Dylan will have his share of turnovers this year but I think he'll do enough in the CU game to get the win. He'll at the very least be a big improvement from Sims. And even with Sims we were fairly even with CU until he started throwing the game to pay off his bookie. I just don't see where CU has improved enough to make me like them to win a huge road game like this.
Only counter I can make is by pointing out the primary constant from last year.

The Simulation™ exists (adv CU)
 
I think CU will start 4-0.

North Dakota State will have a lot of youth starting in game one.
CU will give Nebraska too many match up problems
Colorado State and Baylor are both going to suck.

I like their chances vs. Arizona and Cincinnati. They should be sitting at 6-2 by the end of October. But then I think they close the season 0-4. At 6-6, they take Vegas Bowl bid, half their starters sit out, they lose by 40 to Illinois, and then Deion resigns after a 6-7 season.
I don't think that's outrageous., but I think I feel more comfortable betting on their ceiling than I do their floor.

I think 6 wins is their ceiling. Their floor may be 3 wins.

I think people that believe NDSU is going to give Colorado a game don't realize that NDSU is not what they were a few years ago. All of that has shifted to SDSU.

I do think Nebraska will play them better, don't know if they can beat them. Are they better this year than they were skill-wise last year and do you think that Shurmur is a good enough OC to expose match up problems. I don't know that he is. I like White vs Shurmur and I like Nebrska DL v Colorado OL. Nebraska has to be able to run the ball at Colorado. They have pass rushers but they are very very very light down the middle.

I think going to Colorado St may be a tougher game than North Dakota St.

They are a team that you would rather play late than early because their depth stinks.
 
I do think Nebraska will play them better, don't know if they can beat them. Are they better this year than they were skill-wise last year and do you think that Shurmur is a good enough OC to expose match up problems. I don't know that he is. I like White vs Shurmur and I like Nebrska DL v Colorado OL. Nebraska has to be able to run the ball at Colorado. They have pass rushers but they are very very very light down the middle.

Wasn’t Shedouche changing the play constantly last year to pad his own stats? Wouldn’t surprise me if he didn’t even listen to his OC at all and just called his own plays the whole game.

I thought the key last year would be ball control and running the ball as well. Figured we would pick up first downs and sustain drives pretty easily. That was probably the most disappointing aspect of last year that we couldn’t run the ball on them. The Raiola effect and the much improved WR room SHOULD help with all that. Who knows with The Simulation™ in charge though.
 
I do think Nebraska will play them better, don't know if they can beat them.
I'm just going by the eye test from last year's NU-CU game and the two teams looked pretty even to me (in the 1st half). 2nd half I discount bc Sims basically wrecked our entire team, including the defense.

If you take Sims out of the equation, I had NU-CU looking pretty even in 2023. Now NU has greatly upgraded their team in 2024 while CU looks largely the same. Plus Nebraska is at home.

I would have a hard time picking CU straight up. Objectively I can't think of a single reason I'd pick CU to win a monster road game like this other than "NU always shits their pants." Which is a legit reason, I guess.
 
Wasn’t Shedouche changing the play constantly last year to pad his own stats? Wouldn’t surprise me if he didn’t even listen to his OC at all and just called his own plays the whole game.

I thought the key last year would be ball control and running the ball as well. Figured we would pick up first downs and sustain drives pretty easily. That was probably the most disappointing aspect of last year that we couldn’t run the ball on them. The Raiola effect and the much improved WR room SHOULD help with all that. Who knows with The Simulation™ in charge though.
I don't think is that we couldn't run the ball against them. We just had to shift away from it once Jeff Sims started playing like he didn't have fingers or thumbs on either of his hands.

I think if we can take care of the ball, we commit to the run, even if it doesn't work early. Our OL wears down their DL into the Q3 and runs start to leak and pop. Gotta stay patient, lean on an experienced and stingy D early on.
 
I thought at one point you had Nebraska destroying Colorado this year after figuring Colorado might win last year. What variables about this year changed things for you since then? Transfer portal additions? I've noted you highlighting their WR group and the addition of some solid pass rushers as being a likely strength for them.

I did, but then I read the thoughts of their message boarders and now I realize CU is probably top 10 team in disguise.
 
You make some valid points. Not sure they start 4-0 but certainly possible. I’m not buying into hype of us beating them. Got bit on that last year, so I’m gun shy.

Like him or not, Shedildo is a good qb. We have a true freshman starting his second game in a high profile game. If we played them later in the season, I wouldn’t be worried at all.
I'm not worried at all...I want to see Herbie butt fuck Ralphie on the 50 to get the crowd hyped!!
 
God I hope we piss pound them & end it so we can drive the final nail in the coffin
(& don’t think Rhule doesn’t feel the same with how Deion tried to play the “Rhule disrespected me/it’s personal)” card last yr). That game is going to be insane in Lincoln & everyone is going to use it to exorcise over 20 yrs of demons & disappointments. Mouthy CU fans best stay home. “Nebraska nice” won’t be on display that weekend
You saying it's our turn to throw the piss bottles? Lol
 
I don't expect Raiola to be a finished product of course, but I also don't think it's crazy to count on him to be a clear positive factor immediately... I mean his ceiling is insane, he won't be at his ceiling, but even his floor could pretty easily be the level of like, Casey Thompson, right?

He is not going to look or act like a normal freshman. I fully expect him to be a difference maker in our favor right off the bat.
 
I don't expect Raiola to be a finished product of course, but I also don't think it's crazy to count on him to be a clear positive factor immediately... I mean his ceiling is insane, he won't be at his ceiling, but even his floor could pretty easily be the level of like, Casey Thompson, right?

He is not going to look or act like a normal freshman. I fully expect him to be a difference maker in our favor right off the bat.
Casey Thompson behind a pretty solid Oline? That’s a pretty high floor isn’t it? Sign me up
 
I don't expect Raiola to be a finished product of course, but I also don't think it's crazy to count on him to be a clear positive factor immediately... I mean his ceiling is insane, he won't be at his ceiling, but even his floor could pretty easily be the level of like, Casey Thompson, right?

He is not going to look or act like a normal freshman. I fully expect him to be a difference maker in our favor right off the bat.
People keep talking about Raiola making freshman mistakes as if our QBs last year weren't making some of the worst freshmen mistakes you'll ever see, and they were upperclassmen

Even if Raiola makes all those same mistakes, the positives will still be much better than last year. We had the worst QB pay in the P5 last season, ffs
 
People keep talking about Raiola making freshman mistakes as if our QBs last year weren't making some of the worst freshmen mistakes you'll ever see, and they were upperclassmen

Even if Raiola makes all those same mistakes, the positives will still be much better than last year. We had the worst QB pay in the P5 last season, ffs
Yeah. I don't know what games people watched with Haarberg where they'd think he's some kind of improvement in basically any dimension other than taking 1 in 15 "options" over 10 yards. Options is in quotes because Haarberg apparently couldn't even process fast enough to know if he needed to pitch it so he never did
 
People keep talking about Raiola making freshman mistakes as if our QBs last year weren't making some of the worst freshmen mistakes you'll ever see, and they were upperclassmen

Even if Raiola makes all those same mistakes, the positives will still be much better than last year. We had the worst QB pay in the P5 last season, ffs
Yeah. I don't know what games people watched with Haarberg where they'd think he's some kind of improvement in basically any dimension other than taking 1 in 15 "options" over 10 yards. Options is in quotes because Haarberg apparently couldn't even process fast enough to know if he needed to pitch it so he never did
Yeah, actually if Dylan has his worst game of 2024 vs Colorado.....it will still be better than the game Jeff Sims played vs CU last year.

This is why I'm a bit puzzled by the CU fans' confidence for this game. They got a QB that literally performed at an F-- level last year....and it was still a close game in the 3rd Q. And CU was at home w literally their best home crowd ever.

I believe that even if Dylan has a C+ outing we will still win at home. If he has an A- or better day we'll win by 3 TDs.
 
Yeah, actually if Dylan has his worst game of 2024 vs Colorado.....it will still be better than the game Jeff Sims played vs CU last year.

This is why I'm a bit puzzled by the CU fans' confidence for this game. They got a QB that literally performed at an F-- level last year....and it was still a close game in the 3rd Q. And CU was at home w literally their best home crowd ever.

I believe that even if Dylan has a C+ outing we will still win at home. If he has an A- or better day we'll win by 3 TDs.
Also think the OC change is gonna play a bigger part than people think. That game was early enough that Sean Lewis was still able to draw up a good offense before Deion put him in the dog house. Now they have caveman Pat shurmur giving his first try at calling a college offense.
 
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