I didn't realize you cared so much about answering these questions. So here you go.
No.
First, your data is wrong first off...because if the idea is "Fred sucked then did better, Rhule can to...Rhule sucks right now are they comparable??" not "how does Fred's successful season compare to Rhule's shitty season" you can't include this year, you have to compare Fred's suck to Rhule's suck and you have to use the same amount of time because again, the idea was there's more games against ranked teams in basketball.
Here's the actual for Fred:
24-25 4-3
23-24 2-4
22-23 1-2
Total 7-9
Fred got 16 opportunities in 3 years. Rhule got 9.
Are those equal? No. Nor did I claim they were. In fact I have even said here that Fred has done more than Matt with less.
No, I said I'll never understood why some (might be you, might not) argue that beating ranked teams in a losing season is better than losing to ranked teams in a winning season.
Not to mention "ranked when they played them" is pretty dumb actually because it's often not indicative of how good they actually are vs at the end of the season, when they're fully exposed.
None, nor have I made that claim such a game exists. But again, fluky games in basketball happen because there's many many more games. For instance, Wisconsin beat #3 Michigan 10 days ago. Are they better? No. Not even close. But sometimes in basketball there's off nights that meet up with a team getting hot.
Yeah, I can. Michigan this year (yes, even in a loss). Cincy maybe even. Colorado last year.
Then I saw teams that were inconsistent. A lot like Fred's first 4-5 years. Play well one game, play awful in another.
Now, do I think Rhule is going to put it together? Probably not, but most coaches ultimately fail. Do I think with 100% certainty he won't? Absolutely not.
Predicting coaching success is on a good day a crapshoot.
You hate Rhule, fine. Good for you. There have been signs of improving and changing like with Eck, like with ditching Satt, etc. etc.
You can also see the whiff on a high level DL or RB this cycle as gravely concerning. Both can be true. It's not black and white like you want it to be.
