Maryland Game Week

[Juro]

Or check YouTube for Nebraska football stream.

 

[The Other Dave]

Here’s a write up from Action Sports Pro:

Maryland Terrapins vs Nebraska ​

Saturday, Nov. 11
12 p.m. ET
Peacock
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/odds/nebraska-cornhuskers

Maryland Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
-2.5 -110	42.5 -110o / -110u	-130

Nebraska Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
+2.5 -110	42.5 -110o / -110u	+110

It's not often you find many motivated matchups between two middle-of-the-pack Big Ten teams at this point in the season.

However, that's what we have here as the Maryland Terrapins take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers with bowl eligibility on the line.

Maryland was getting a lot of love a month ago heading into its game against Ohio State. Since then, its season has taken a nose dive, as it comes into this matchup having lost four straight.

As for Nebraska, it's turned its season around of late. The Huskers come in at 3-2 in their last five after picking up victories over two of the three teams that defeated Maryland.

While that type of college football math doesn't always work, could it be pointing to the value in this matchup? Let's take a look at the college football odds for Maryland vs Nebraska and find a prediction and pick.

Maryland Terrapins​

At this point in the season, we know what the Terrapins offense is going to look like. They've kept the ball in Taulia Tagovailoa's hands all season long, and that will not change here.

It also helps that Tua's younger brother has kept himself on the map with another stellar season. Thus far, Tagovailoa ranks 29th in QBR and 28th in completion percentage.

His ability to complete passes at a high rate will be key in this matchup because if that's maintained, the Terps should be able to move the ball against the Cornhuskers without having to take big shots.

Nebraska's defense is very solid. It shuts down the run game, ranking fourth in yards per rush allowed while also not allowing big plays through the air. However, the Huskers are just 54th in opponent completion percentage allowed.
So, as long as Tagovailoa can have time to throw, we should see him hit receivers with short to intermediate passes all game long.

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https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/odds/nebraska-cornhuskers

Nebraska Cornhuskers​

Matt Rhule's arrival to this Nebraska program did not provide the spark that many thought it would early on in the season. However, the man who has gotten this team on track is quarterback Heinrich Haarberg.

Haarberg has taken the reins of the offense and led the way both through the air and on the ground. While Haarberg is the player to watch when Nebraska has the ball, it's not like he's been the most efficient member of the offense.
He has provided very little threat in the passing game, and that has made the Cornhuskers the fifth-heaviest rushing offense in the nation. While Nebraska should get a decent push-up front, Maryland has been very stingy against the run, ranking 16th in yards per rush allowed.

The Terrapins could also sell out for the run if Haarberg is unable to keep them honest through the air.

Maryland vs Nebraska​

Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Maryland and Nebraska match up statistically:
Maryland Offense vs Nebraska Defense

	Offense	Defense	Edge
Rush Success	93	18	Nebraska
Line Yards	74	89	Maryland
Pass Success	38	32	Nebraska
Havoc	15	78	Maryland
Finishing Drives	30	41	Maryland
Quality Drives	42	29	Nebraska

Nebraska Offense vs Maryland Defense

	Offense	Defense	Edge
Rush Success	77	87	Nebraska
Line Yards	46	84	Nebraska
Pass Success	126	62	Maryland
Havoc	112	85	Maryland
Finishing Drives	71	59	Maryland
Quality Drives	101	78	Maryland

Pace of Play / Other

PFF Tackling	6	37
PFF Coverage	32	35
Special Teams SP+	65	6
Middle 8	49	55
Seconds per Play	25.0 (31)	30.2 (122)
Rush Rate	42.9% (123)	66.2% (8)

Data via CollegeFootballData.com, SP+, Pro Football Focus, and SportSource Analytics.

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Maryland vs Nebraska​

Betting Pick & Prediction

This matchup has the potential to be a tight one. However, Maryland will be able to separate itself with its passing game.

Tagovailoa has been excellent this season, and his efficiency will allow him to find success against the Cornhuskers' secondary.

The Terps will be able to move the ball far more effectively than Nebraska will, and even if the game is low-scoring as the total suggests, Maryland will come out on top.

Pick: Maryland ML -125​

 

[jickey moseph]

Wat

 

[vailhusker]

 

[vailhusker]

 

[cwessel76]

Wat

Fuck fuck fuck

 

[Baron Winnebago]

MODS

 

[Fitzjess21]

Wat

Well, fuck. Hartzog and Hill at CB?

 

[cwessel76]

MODS

 

[vailhusker]

Wat

The Simulation starting early today. Going against a team that likes to pass take out our #1 DB. Hopefully it's as windy as they were saying it will be.

 

[Pipe Line]

I don’t remember seeing the Newsome news rumored yesterday…..

 

[Red Finger]

Time to prove em all wrong today boyz:

 

[Baron Winnebago]

Why don't you go walking in Memphis to cool down pal?

 

[cwessel76]

Why don't you go walking in Memphis to cool down pal?

I value my life.

 

[vailhusker]

Well, fuck. Hartzog and Hill at CB?

Hopefully we get good Tommi Hill today.

 

[turek420845]

Tailgate is up and ready!!