2024-25 NCAA Tournament Bracketology/Bubble Watch

[Goskers07]

Memphis would be last year’s TAMU game 2.0 - incredible athletes strong bigs that would eat us alive on the boards. Do not want this type of matchup but looking at the other possibilities on the 7/8 lines… we are in for a tough game regardless

Can’t play Illinois, Pickle Smoochers or St Marys in the first round since we played them in regular season

UConn…. Don’t even need to explain why that would not go well

Memphis/Louisville - too athletic although I’d rather play Louisville of these two IMO

The ones I’m keeping an eye on… would love to play Kansas. I think we match up decently and they have been straight ass away from Allen Fieldhouse. They’re currently on the 6 line but we could slip to 11 or they could fall to 7 with the remaining 4 weeks of hoops left. Talk about a banger first round matchup.

I don't disagree with any of this really, but at the end of the day you have to be ready and willing to play whoever. We can't really be sitting here saying "we want in!...but not against them." At some point if they're going to get that first tourney win, it's gonna take some nutting up over a tough opponent.

 

[Stan Raymond]

I don't disagree with any of this really, but at the end of the day you have to be ready and willing to play whoever. We can't really be sitting here saying "we want in!...but not against them." At some point if they're going to get that first tourney win, it's gonna take some nutting up over a tough opponent.

Agreed. Any opponent we get as a 8, 9, or 10 seed is going to be good. There just aren't any gimmies at that seed level.

 

[Huskers4420]

Agreed. Any opponent we get as a 8, 9, or 10 seed is going to be good. There just aren't any gimmies at that seed level.

It’s really all about matchups at that point. And even that doesn’t tell the whole story. Texas A&M was a great matchup for us on paper last year with giving up a lot of 3’s and not being able to shoot, but then they made every 3 anyway. Not to mention we hadn’t seen a team like that all year with just athletes at every position.

Moral of the story, like a poster said earlier, you better be ready to nut up and play anyone around these seed lines. Everyone’s good.

 

[Jim14510]

would love to play Kansas

 

[Lionsfan93]

They are surprisingly soft.

 

[Jim14510]

They are surprisingly soft.

They're down this year but they're still pretty damn good. They're also athletic and good (not great) from 3. I'm still holding out hope we win out and make a little run in the B1G tourney and get up to a 7.

Won't happen but a man can dream.

 

[Mustangblood]

Am I wrong in this mindset, being a 8-11 seed power 5 team we just aren’t going to see a team we match up well with usually. These other power 5 bubble teams are usually pretty athletic minded and that’s who we are going to get matched up with. The kind of team I think we match up great with are these kid major conference champions who have 2-3 really good players but not super athletic and definitely not really deep teams. But as a 7-11 seed bubble team those just aren’t the teams we will ever see in the first round.

 

[Stan Raymond]

They're down this year but they're still pretty damn good. They're also athletic and good (not great) from 3. I'm still holding out hope we win out and make a little run in the B1G tourney and get up to a 7.

Won't happen but a man can dream.

I'm right there with you, best way to finally win a NCAA Tournament game is to get a better seed, chances of winning that first game are a lot better as a 7 seed than 8, 9, 10, or 11.

 

[Seaofred92]

Dream quadrant IMO

 

[PonyBoy]

** Post Pedophile State update **

** Pedo State likely to move to Q1 after tonight then back to Q2 eventually **

4-7 5-7 6-7 6-8 7-8 7-9 current B1G record with remaining games

Group 1 = 2-1 is needed (2-1 accomplished)
at Washington (Q2) W
v Ohio State (Q1) W
v Maryland (Q1) L

Group 2 = 1-2 is needed (1-1 w/ 1 TBD, accomplished)
at Northwestern (Q1) W
at Penn State (Q2) L
v Michigan (Q1)

Group 3 = 2-1 is needed
v Minnesota (Q3) absolutely can't lose this game
at Ohio State (Q1)
v Ioa (Q2)

** Post Michigan update **

4-7 5-7 6-7 6-8 7-8 7-9 7-10 current B1G record with remaining games

Group 1 = 2-1 is needed (2-1 accomplished)
at Washington (Q2) W
v Ohio State (Q1) W
v Maryland (Q1) L

Group 2 = 1-2 is needed (1-2 accomplished)
at Northwestern (Q1) W
at Penn State (Q2) L
v Michigan (Q1) L

^^^ PISSED AWAY +1 STEAL IN BOTH GROUPS 1 & 2 🤬

Group 3 = 2-1 is needed
v Minnesota (Q3) absolutely can't lose this game
at Ohio State (Q1)
v Ioa (Q2)

 

[PonyBoy]

Updated Quad records (post Michigan)

Q1 = 5-9*
Q2 = 4-2
Q3 = 2-0
Q4 = 6-0

* Ohio State home game win has moved to a Q2 win.

 

[Seaofred92]

Updated Quad records (post Michigan)

Q1 = 5-9*
Q2 = 4-2
Q3 = 2-0
Q4 = 6-0

* Ohio State home game win has moved to a Q2 win.

That Rutgers home loss keeps flipping between Q2 and Q3 daily it seems

 

[PonyBoy]

That Rutgers home loss keeps flipping between Q2 and Q3 daily it seems

Ya, it's a Q2 today. They have 3 games left; at Michigan, at Purdue & Minnesota. 1-2 should keep it a Q2.

 

[PonyBoy]

We're currently 5-7 against teams projected (Lunardi) in the dance.

W - at craydone, UCLA, Illinois, at Oregon, Ohio State

L - St Mary's, Maryland x2, Michigan State, Michigan, Purdue, Wisconsin

Indiana is a bubble looking out, but a W for us.

10 B1G teams still projected.

 

[jickey moseph]

Win Saturday, please.

 

[2010sarenevercomingback]

** Post Michigan update **

4-7 5-7 6-7 6-8 7-8 7-9 7-10 current B1G record with remaining games

Group 1 = 2-1 is needed (2-1 accomplished)
at Washington (Q2) W
v Ohio State (Q1) W
v Maryland (Q1) L

Group 2 = 1-2 is needed (1-2 accomplished)
at Northwestern (Q1) W
at Penn State (Q2) L
v Michigan (Q1) L

^^^ PISSED AWAY +1 STEAL IN BOTH GROUPS 1 & 2 🤬

Group 3 = 2-1 is needed
v Minnesota (Q3) absolutely can't lose this game
at Ohio State (Q1)
v Ioa (Q2)

How does the B1G tournament play into this?

I gotta think 0-1 has us pretty nervous, even if we hit the 2-1 in group 3.

1-1 the tourney record that keeps the calculus intact for this regular season math?

 

[PonyBoy]

How does the B1G tournament play into this?

I gotta think 0-1 has us pretty nervous, even if we hit the 2-1 in group 3.

1-1 the tourney record that keeps the calculus intact for this regular season math?

It doesn't. All signs point to a 9-11 B1G conference finish locks us in the NCAAt.

 

[PonyBoy]

Good sign for a 9-11 conference record enough to make the dance!?

 

[Huskers4420]

How does the B1G tournament play into this?

It doesn't. The committee has their at-larges picked before conference tourney play. And then eliminate them as bid stealers roll in.

 

[Huskers4420]

Good sign for a 9-11 conference record enough to make the dance!?

I'm more concerned about eye test. It doesn't really help you to play a tough schedule when you lose by margins of 37, 36, and 28.