2024-25 NCAA Tournament Bracketology/Bubble Watch

[DrinkItIn]

** Post Maryland update **

4-7 5-7 6-7 6-8 current B1G record with remaining games

Group 1 = 2-1 is needed (2-1 accomplished)
at Washington (Q2) W
v Ohio State (Q1) W
v Maryland (Q1) L

Group 2 = 1-2 is needed
at Northwestern (Q1)
at Penn State (Q1)
v Michigan (Q1)

Group 3 = 2-1 is needed
v Minnesota (Q3) absolutely can't lose this game
at Ohio State (Q1)
v Ioa (Q2)

Thanks for doing this. Still on schedule.

 

[Goskers07]

Thanks for doing this. Still on schedule.

Ahead of schedule even. This next block gives us a good chance to lock it up. Sucks two are on the road, but that's two we should win. Then beat Michigan at home and we are in.

 

[DrinkItIn]

As expected, not much has changed after last night. Still projected as a 10-seed against Clemson.

Men's Bracketology: 2025 NCAA Tournament By Joe Lunardi

 

[PonyBoy]

As expected, not much has changed after last night. Still projected as a 10-seed against Clemson.

Men's Bracketology: 2025 NCAA Tournament By Joe Lunardi

Few more links for people to follow...

Bracket Matrix (all bracketologists listed, currently 10 seed average prior to Maryland game)
Of note, everyone listed has us in the dance

http://www.bracketmatrix.com/

Palm has us as an 8 seed (prior to Maryland game)

https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/bracketology/

Katz has us as an 9 seed (post Maryland game)

2025 March Madness men's bracket predictions: Andy Katz's first projections of the year

NCAA.com's Andy Katz's shares his March Madness bracket predictions with the NCAA tournament just a few months away.

www.ncaa.com

83% chance of making the dance (currently 10 seed)

Bracketology 2025: Odds To Make The NCAA Tournament

NCAA bracketology for 2025 from the number crunchers at TeamRankings.com. Our algorithmic models project all 364 NCAA teams and update daily.

www.teamrankings.com

 

[jickey moseph]

Few more links for people to follow...

Bracket Matrix (all bracketologists listed, currently 10 seed average prior to Maryland game)
Of note, everyone listed has us in the dance

http://www.bracketmatrix.com/

Palm has us as an 8 seed (prior to Maryland game)

https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/bracketology/

Katz has us as an 9 seed (post Maryland game)

2025 March Madness men's bracket predictions: Andy Katz's first projections of the year

NCAA.com's Andy Katz's shares his March Madness bracket predictions with the NCAA tournament just a few months away.

www.ncaa.com

83% chance of making the dance (currently 10 seed)

Bracketology 2025: Odds To Make The NCAA Tournament

NCAA bracketology for 2025 from the number crunchers at TeamRankings.com. Our algorithmic models project all 364 NCAA teams and update daily.

www.teamrankings.com

And everyone's favorite - https://nebrasketball.info/

They added a nice piece at the bottom that breaks down the wins by quadrant.

 

[stonesak]

Would rather be a 10 seed than an 8 or 9, tbh

 

[Stan Raymond]

Would rather be a 10 seed than an 8 or 9, tbh

I wouldn't.

10 seed wins 38.8% of the time
9 seed wins 51.3% of the time
8 seed wins 48.7% of the time
7 seed wins 61.2% of the time

Lower seed the better chance to win a game, I'm not looking past the first game, as should no Nebraska fan. 8 or 9 no real difference, doesn't make much difference as they play each other, but better chance to win than a 10 seed, even better if we can finish hot get a 7 seed. LINK

 

[PonyBoy]

** Post Maryland update **

4-7 5-7 6-7 6-8 current B1G record with remaining games

Group 1 = 2-1 is needed (2-1 accomplished)
at Washington (Q2) W
v Ohio State (Q1) W
v Maryland (Q1) L

Group 2 = 1-2 is needed
at Northwestern (Q1)
at Penn State (Q1)
v Michigan (Q1)

Group 3 = 2-1 is needed
v Minnesota (Q3) absolutely can't lose this game
at Ohio State (Q1)
v Ioa (Q2)

** Post Northwestern update **

4-7 5-7 6-7 6-8 7-8 current B1G record with remaining games

Group 1 = 2-1 is needed (2-1 accomplished)
at Washington (Q2) W
v Ohio State (Q1) W
v Maryland (Q1) L

Group 2 = 1-2 is needed (1-0 w/ 2 TBD, accomplished)
at Northwestern (Q1) W
at Penn State (Q1)
v Michigan (Q1)

Group 3 = 2-1 is needed
v Minnesota (Q3) absolutely can't lose this game
at Ohio State (Q1)
v Ioa (Q2)

 

[Goskers07]

** Post Northwestern update **

4-7 5-7 6-7 6-8 7-8 current B1G record with remaining games

Group 1 = 2-1 is needed (2-1 accomplished)
at Washington (Q2) W
v Ohio State (Q1) W
v Maryland (Q1) L

Group 2 = 1-2 is needed (1-0 w/ 2 TBD, accomplished)
at Northwestern (Q1) W
at Penn State (Q1)
v Michigan (Q1)

Group 3 = 2-1 is needed
v Minnesota (Q3) absolutely can't lose this game
at Ohio State (Q1)
v Ioa (Q2)

Did Penn St drop to Q2? I thought I saw that on the broadcast.

 

[Husker15]

Did Penn St drop to Q2? I thought I saw that on the broadcast.

Yes. They're 78 in the NET now

 

[PonyBoy]

Did Penn St drop to Q2? I thought I saw that on the broadcast.

Yes, their loss to Washington dropped them 5 spots (from 73 to 78, need to be <75 for road Q1) in the NET.

My Q1 listings are from several games ago & I'll only update a change after a game is played.

With today's Q1 win on the road, it doesn't change what's needed (1-2) in this 3 game grouping.

 

[PonyBoy]

Our Quads record, post Northwestern game...

Q1 = 6-7 (3 on the road, 2 are tourney teams; Craydone & Oregon)
Q2 = 3-2
Q3 = 2-0
Q4 = 6-0

Our resume is solid AF.

 

[Seaofred92]

Just don’t lose to Minnesota or Cockeye and we will be on the right side of the bubble one month from today

 

[Goskers07]

Yes, their loss to Washington dropped them 5 spots (from 73 to 78, need to be <75 for road Q1) in the NET.

My Q1 listings are from several games ago & I'll only update a change after a game is played.

With today's Q1 win on the road, it doesn't change what's needed (1-2) in this 3 game grouping.

Yeah that was more personal curiosity. Q1 v Q2 at this point isn't going to make a big difference. Just win baby.

 

[PonyBoy]

 

[redzoner]

Some of these bracket predictions are a little strange. We are now in all the brackets that bracket matrix tracks except one. That one has us first out but has 13-13, NET ranked 78, Penn St. in the field.

I don't how that could be. They only have 1 Q1 win and 2 Q3 losses.

Bracketology 2025 - NCAA Tournament / NIT Projections

Our Bracketology for 2025! We list projections for all of NCAA Basketball tournament seeds as well as the NIT tournament in March.

www.dratings.com

I guess anyone can put anything on the internet.

 

[Ironwardog]

Some of these bracket predictions are a little strange. We are now in all the brackets that bracket matrix tracks except one. That one has us first out but has 13-13, NET ranked 78, Penn St. in the field.

I don't how that could be. They only have 1 Q1 win and 2 Q3 losses.

Bracketology 2025 - NCAA Tournament / NIT Projections

Our Bracketology for 2025! We list projections for all of NCAA Basketball tournament seeds as well as the NIT tournament in March.

www.dratings.com

I guess anyone can put anything on the internet.

lol they must expect us to lose every game from here on out. Which if we play like we did against northwestern the first 25ish minutes I could believe. I think at this point our only MUST WIN is against Minnesota due to them being a Q3?

 

[DrinkItIn]

Some of these bracket predictions are a little strange. We are now in all the brackets that bracket matrix tracks except one. That one has us first out but has 13-13, NET ranked 78, Penn St. in the field.

I don't how that could be. They only have 1 Q1 win and 2 Q3 losses.

Bracketology 2025 - NCAA Tournament / NIT Projections

Our Bracketology for 2025! We list projections for all of NCAA Basketball tournament seeds as well as the NIT tournament in March.

www.dratings.com

I guess anyone can put anything on the internet.

This site was last updated on 2/14, so I’m guessing this prediction was made after the Maryland loss and hasn’t been updated since NU’s win over Northwestern. Most sites should update today, so I’m curious to see if NU will now be a lock in all the brackets at this point.

 

[PonyBoy]

** Post Northwestern update **

4-7 5-7 6-7 6-8 7-8 current B1G record with remaining games

Group 1 = 2-1 is needed (2-1 accomplished)
at Washington (Q2) W
v Ohio State (Q1) W
v Maryland (Q1) L

Group 2 = 1-2 is needed (1-0 w/ 2 TBD, accomplished)
at Northwestern (Q1) W
at Penn State (Q1)
v Michigan (Q1)

Group 3 = 2-1 is needed
v Minnesota (Q3) absolutely can't lose this game
at Ohio State (Q1)
v Ioa (Q2)

** Post Pedophile State update **

** Pedo State likely to move to Q1 after tonight then back to Q2 eventually **

4-7 5-7 6-7 6-8 7-8 7-9 current B1G record with remaining games

Group 1 = 2-1 is needed (2-1 accomplished)
at Washington (Q2) W
v Ohio State (Q1) W
v Maryland (Q1) L

Group 2 = 1-2 is needed (1-1 w/ 1 TBD, accomplished)
at Northwestern (Q1) W
at Penn State (Q2) L
v Michigan (Q1)

Group 3 = 2-1 is needed
v Minnesota (Q3) absolutely can't lose this game
at Ohio State (Q1)
v Ioa (Q2)

 

[jickey moseph]

Weird ass team. I'm guessing Pedo State will be Q1 come tomorrow due to their margin of victory.