2024-25 NCAA Tournament Bracketology/Bubble Watch

[Seaofred92]

 

[Goskers07]

To say we jumped back in quickly is an understatement.

 

[SoCal_Corn]

The FULL pic

 

[PonyBoy]

I'm hopeful to button this up before the Washington (Q2) game Wednesday, but I believe a 9-11 B1G record gets us dancing...

Currently
* 14-8 (4-7 B1G)
* 4-6 v Q1
* 2-1 v Q2
* 2-1 v Q3 (Rutgers dropped to Q3)
* 6-0 v Q4

Remaining
6 v Q1 (3 home, 3 away)
2 v Q2 (1 home, 1 away)
1 v Q3 (home)

Even if we go 3-0 against the Q2's & Q3, that gets us to 7 conference wins. Or, 2-1 and we're at 6 conference wins...

...which means 2 or 3 more Q1 wins guaranteed to get to 9 total (6-10 or 7-9 v Q1).

Currently
#16 non-conference RPI
#31 overall RPI
#79 non-conference SOS
#17 overall SOS

The above RPI/SOS is way better than a season ago. As would our Q1 record, which includes 2 road wins that we didn't have last season.

Our overall RPI & SOS shouldn't change much either way by the time the regular season ends.

I'm super close to certain a 9-11 B1G record will get us dancing. NET is what I haven't been able to crack as comfortably as last season but I believe we can get there. Here's my breakdown in groups of 3...

4-7 current B1G record with remaining games

Group 1 = 2-1 is needed
at Washington (Q2)
v Ohio State (Q1)
v Maryland (Q1)

Group 2 = 1-2 is needed
at Northwestern (Q1)
at Penn State (Q1)
v Michigan (Q1)

Group 3 = 2-1 is needed
v Minnesota (Q3) absolutely can't lose this game
at Ohio State (Q1)
v Ioa (Q2)

Any result that's different is added or subtracted in the next group. EX: 1-2 next 3, then we need to sneak an additional win out of the next 6 games. 3-0 next 3 and we can afford to lose an additional game in the next 6 as long as it's not (as it stands today), Minnesota.

The above results would give us, at bare minimum, a 6-12 record against Q1 with at least 2 of them on the road. Remember, we didn't have any Q1 road wins last season (technically we did against Kansas State, but they weren't Q1 until the last 2 games of the regular season & nobody was highlighting it).

10-10 or better B1G record and we're a lock.

 

[redzoner]

I'm super close to certain a 9-11 B1G record will get us dancing. NET is what I haven't been able to crack as comfortably as last season but I believe we can get there. Here's my breakdown in groups of 3...

4-7 current B1G record with remaining games

Group 1 = 2-1 is needed
at Washington (Q2)
v Ohio State (Q1)
v Maryland (Q1)

Group 2 = 1-2 is needed
at Northwestern (Q1)
at Penn State (Q1)
v Michigan (Q1)

Group 3 = 2-1 is needed
v Minnesota (Q3) absolutely can't lose this game
at Ohio State (Q1)
v Ioa (Q2)

Any result that's different is added or subtracted in the next group. EX: 1-2 next 3, then we need to sneak an additional win out of the next 6 games. 3-0 next 3 and we can afford to lose an additional game in the next 6 as long as it's not (as it stands today), Minnesota.

The above results would give us, at bare minimum, a 6-12 record against Q1 with at least 2 of them on the road. Remember, we didn't have any Q1 road wins last season (technically we did against Kansas State, but they weren't Q1 until the last 2 games of the regular season & nobody was highlighting it).

10-10 or better B1G record and we're a lock.

Couple things to hopefully soften two games.

Brooks Barnhizer is out for the season for NW with a foot injury.

Owen Freeman is out for the season for Ioa with a finger injury.

And towards the end of the year teams that are out of the tournament may not put up the same fight as earlier in the season. (Minnesota and maybe Penn State and Northwestern)

 

[PonyBoy]

4-7 current B1G record with remaining games

Group 1 = 2-1 is needed
at Washington (Q2)
v Ohio State (Q1)
v Maryland (Q1)

Group 2 = 1-2 is needed
at Northwestern (Q1)
at Penn State (Q1)
v Michigan (Q1)

Group 3 = 2-1 is needed
v Minnesota (Q3) absolutely can't lose this game
at Ohio State (Q1)
v Ioa (Q2)

** Post Washington update **

4-7 5-7 current B1G record with remaining games

Group 1 = 2-1 is needed
at Washington (Q2) W
v Ohio State (Q1)
v Maryland (Q1)

Group 2 = 1-2 is needed
at Northwestern (Q1)
at Penn State (Q1)
v Michigan (Q1)

Group 3 = 2-1 is needed
v Minnesota (Q3) absolutely can't lose this game
at Ohio State (Q1)
v Ioa (Q2)

 

[...TrueColors...]

** Post Washington update **

4-7 5-7 current B1G record with remaining games

Group 1 = 2-1 is needed
at Washington (Q2) W
v Ohio State (Q1)
v Maryland (Q1)

Group 2 = 1-2 is needed
at Northwestern (Q1)
at Penn State (Q1)
v Michigan (Q1)

Group 3 = 2-1 is needed
v Minnesota (Q3) absolutely can't lose this game
at Ohio State (Q1)
v Ioa (Q2)

I think if you can beat Ohio St on Sunday you’re really starting to “taste” it

 

[HuskerDocCo]

I think if you can beat Ohio St on Sunday you’re really starting to “taste” it

TC, not sure what im tastin but it’s somethin between old Milwaukee and castor oil

 

[turek420845]

TC, not sure what im tastin but it’s somethin between old Milwaukee and castor oil

 

[Husker15]

 

[Goskers07]

** Post Washington update **

4-7 5-7 current B1G record with remaining games

Group 1 = 2-1 is needed
at Washington (Q2) W
v Ohio State (Q1)
v Maryland (Q1)

Group 2 = 1-2 is needed
at Northwestern (Q1)
at Penn State (Q1)
v Michigan (Q1)

Group 3 = 2-1 is needed
v Minnesota (Q3) absolutely can't lose this game
at Ohio State (Q1)
v Ioa (Q2)

Put simply: take care of things at home and all is good again.

 

[2010sarenevercomingback]

 

[Cornicator]

I think if you can beat Ohio St on Sunday you’re really starting to “taste” it

With back to back wins vs. Ohio State and Maryland, I think Nebraska will officially be sitting along the 8/9 line.

 

[stonesak]

Maryland pulls a Nebraska and blows a 17 point lead in Columbus. Ohio State is now probably in ahead of us fairly comfortably, but a win Sunday probably jumps us up close to a 9 seed.

 

[Dr.DrakeRamoray]

Maryland pulls a Nebraska and blows a 17 point lead in Columbus. Ohio State is now probably in ahead of us fairly comfortably, but a win Sunday probably jumps us up close to a 9 seed.

Idk about a 9 seed, our non con was so shit idk if we can get that high. I think Nebraska ends up in as a 10

 

[PonyBoy]

Idk about a 9 seed, our non con was so shit idk if we can get that high. I think Nebraska ends up in as a 10

Huh?

13 non-conf RPI (59 last season)
78 non-conf SOS (200+ last season)

 

[Stan Raymond]

Huh?

13 non-conf RPI (59 last season)
78 non-conf SOS (200+ last season)

ESPN has our nonconference SOS at 166 LINK

 

[Jim14510]

ESPN has our nonconference SOS at 166 LINK

ESPN sucks

 

[HuskerGarrett]

Nebraska, Creight0n, and UNO in? Is Nebraska perhaps the best basketball state

 

[FreightPimpDawg]

Do you Skers actually care about basketball?
I haven’t watch a CBB game in at least a decade.