I'm super close to certain a 9-11 B1G record will get us dancing. NET is what I haven't been able to crack as comfortably as last season but I believe we can get there. Here's my breakdown in groups of 3...
4-7 current B1G record with remaining games
Group 1 = 2-1 is needed
at Washington (Q2)
v Ohio State (Q1)
v Maryland (Q1)
Group 2 = 1-2 is needed
at Northwestern (Q1)
at Penn State (Q1)
v Michigan (Q1)
Group 3 = 2-1 is needed
v Minnesota (Q3) absolutely can't lose this game
at Ohio State (Q1)
v Ioa (Q2)
Any result that's different is added or subtracted in the next group. EX: 1-2 next 3, then we need to sneak an additional win out of the next 6 games. 3-0 next 3 and we can afford to lose an additional game in the next 6 as long as it's not (as it stands today), Minnesota.
The above results would give us, at bare minimum, a 6-12 record against Q1 with at least 2 of them on the road. Remember, we didn't have any Q1 road wins last season (technically we did against Kansas State, but they weren't Q1 until the last 2 games of the regular season & nobody was highlighting it).
10-10 or better B1G record and we're a lock.