Missed that. (Duke) But we really have 7, Wisconsin will be a quad 1 win by next Monday. And even if they lose to SC at home (unlikely) they’ll still become a quad win at a later date.
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Nebrasketball: Quad breakdown + odds to dance ** Updated 1/19/26 **
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Missed that. (Duke) But we really have 7, Wisconsin will be a quad 1 win by next Monday. And even if they lose to SC at home (unlikely) they’ll still become a quad win at a later date.
Also, Duke doesn’t have 9 quad 1 wins. They have 8 but they’ve played 9 quad 1 opponents. (8-1) We’re currently 6-0, probably be 7-0 in few days.
Here's some data that tells the story of where we are.
What's hurting our predictive metrics is these lower game scores on this graph. USC Upstate at a 34 really hurts. Playing the bad teams only really hurts if you don't blow them out. (https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Nebraska&year=2026)
They have dropped now but here's Vanderbilt's to see why they jumped so much higher than us when we were both undefeated. Nothing below a 74 till recently.
Another stat I really like that I think should play more of a factor and I think is a big benefit for us in the tournament is Evan Miyakawa's opponent adjust. This shows that of all the top 30 teams we play the best against harder opponents. (https://evanmiya.com/?team_ratings)
What's hurting our predictive metrics is these lower game scores on this graph. USC Upstate at a 34 really hurts. Playing the bad teams only really hurts if you don't blow them out. (https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Nebraska&year=2026)
They have dropped now but here's Vanderbilt's to see why they jumped so much higher than us when we were both undefeated. Nothing below a 74 till recently.
Another stat I really like that I think should play more of a factor and I think is a big benefit for us in the tournament is Evan Miyakawa's opponent adjust. This shows that of all the top 30 teams we play the best against harder opponents. (https://evanmiya.com/?team_ratings)
It’s actually insane that the team who struggled against North Dakota has just been bodying top 60 squads
The CFB establishment didn't like Indiana either. They kicked the fucking door in.
This is why the Rogue One tiktok is perfect - we are just mowing you bastards down, like it or not.
SMU is quad 1 as of today., they were quad 2 yesterday. The official ncaa website updates much faster than the bballnet.com rankings. Duke is 9-1 vs quad 1 as of right now.
So getting blown out like Purdue and Gonzaga did to a good team is better than not blowing out a bad team . What retard thinks like this ? Nerds should not be in charge of ranking metrics
It’s almost like players take big games more seriously - something the nerds don’t understand
It's a predictive model not a results based model. The Purdue blowout to a top 10 ranked team in their metrics was still worth more than us playing poorly against UC Upstate.
I’m used to Husker teams pissing down their legs for big games, sue me
They play USC at home on Sunday. I’m thinking they’ll be a Q1 if they win that game.
I find it humorous beating WI by 30 counts less than beating NW away.
Relax folks, quadrant volatility will settle down. Likely following the Illinois game.
In one metric, the NET, it does but the committee will have a very detailed breakdown of every team. And with us fighting for (my projection) seeding between 1 & 3, our entire resume will have a full microscope.
As it stands today; beating WI by 30 at home is damn near the same as beating NW by 19 on the road. A 19-point road win is nothing to scoff over, especially a conference game.
The Minnesota game is huge AF for us & I feel it's more important than Michigan. And I say that assuming Frager is out for both games as the committee will take it under consideration. There's a very chance the Gophers end up a Q1 game.
In one metric, the NET, it does but the committee will have a very detailed breakdown of every team. And with us fighting for (my projection) seeding between 1 & 3, our entire resume will have a full microscope.
As it stands today; beating WI by 30 at home is damn near the same as beating NW by 19 on the road. A 19-point road win is nothing to scoff over, especially a conference game.
The Minnesota game is huge AF for us & I feel it's more important than Michigan. And I say that assuming Frager is out for both games as the committee will take it under consideration. There's a very chance the Gophers end up a Q1 game.
NET and other metrics like that are generally used to figure out who should be in the tournament.
We're in a different spot this year where we care about seeding and the two metrics that are correlated most to that are SOR and WAB.
We are #2 in SOR and #4 in WAB.
I think everyone is relaxed. It’s just a lot more fun to “stress” over being a 1-3 seed than the normal stress over being on the bubble.
A buddy of mine who’s an Cockeye state fan a few weeks back sent me a meme that was about Nebraska fans struggling to figure out what the quads meant. My reply was we are well aware due to constantly being on bubble watch hoping we can get a 9-11 seed.
A buddy of mine who’s an Cockeye state fan a few weeks back sent me a meme that was about Nebraska fans struggling to figure out what the quads meant. My reply was we are well aware due to constantly being on bubble watch hoping we can get a 9-11 seed.
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