Nebrasketball: Quad breakdown + odds to dance ** Updated 1/19/26 **

[V-Doub]

Duke has 9 quad 1 wins. Nebraska is tied for 2nd most with Purdue and Arizona at 6

Missed that. (Duke) But we really have 7, Wisconsin will be a quad 1 win by next Monday. And even if they lose to SC at home (unlikely) they’ll still become a quad win at a later date.

 

[V-Doub]

Duke has 9 quad 1 wins. Nebraska is tied for 2nd most with Purdue and Arizona at 6

Also, Duke doesn’t have 9 quad 1 wins. They have 8 but they’ve played 9 quad 1 opponents. (8-1) We’re currently 6-0, probably be 7-0 in few days.

 

[redzoner]

Here's some data that tells the story of where we are.

What's hurting our predictive metrics is these lower game scores on this graph. USC Upstate at a 34 really hurts. Playing the bad teams only really hurts if you don't blow them out. (https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Nebraska&year=2026)



They have dropped now but here's Vanderbilt's to see why they jumped so much higher than us when we were both undefeated. Nothing below a 74 till recently.



Another stat I really like that I think should play more of a factor and I think is a big benefit for us in the tournament is Evan Miyakawa's opponent adjust. This shows that of all the top 30 teams we play the best against harder opponents. (https://evanmiya.com/?team_ratings)

 

[Red Dog]

Its not the schedule.. they played like shit compared to their last 10 games

It’s actually insane that the team who struggled against North Dakota has just been bodying top 60 squads

 

[djw004]

When being undefeated and having the most Q1 wins in all of CBB isn’t enough… It’s clear that the CBB “establishment” doesn’t like or want to believe we’re a real threat to make a run.

“Hey, I thought it would be really neat if you guys won your 1st NCAA tournament game but… you’re not supposed to be better than my team.”

View attachment 66194

The CFB establishment didn't like Indiana either. They kicked the fucking door in.

This is why the Rogue One tiktok is perfect - we are just mowing you bastards down, like it or not.

 

[Scott Hall]

Also, Duke doesn’t have 9 quad 1 wins. They have 8 but they’ve played 9 quad 1 opponents. (8-1) We’re currently 6-0, probably be 7-0 in few days.

SMU is quad 1 as of today., they were quad 2 yesterday. The official ncaa website updates much faster than the bballnet.com rankings. Duke is 9-1 vs quad 1 as of right now.

 

[TampaBaySkers]

Here's some data that tells the story of where we are.

What's hurting our predictive metrics is these lower game scores on this graph. USC Upstate at a 34 really hurts. Playing the bad teams only really hurts if you don't blow them out. (https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Nebraska&year=2026)

View attachment 66196

They have dropped now but here's Vanderbilt's to see why they jumped so much higher than us when we were both undefeated. Nothing below a 74 till recently.

View attachment 66198

Another stat I really like that I think should play more of a factor and I think is a big benefit for us in the tournament is Evan Miyakawa's opponent adjust. This shows that of all the top 30 teams we play the best against harder opponents. (https://evanmiya.com/?team_ratings)

View attachment 66197

So getting blown out like Purdue and Gonzaga did to a good team is better than not blowing out a bad team . What retard thinks like this ? Nerds should not be in charge of ranking metrics

 

[TampaBaySkers]

It’s actually insane that the team who struggled against North Dakota has just been bodying top 60 squads

It’s almost like players take big games more seriously - something the nerds don’t understand

 

[V-Doub]

SMU is quad 1 as of today., they were quad 2 yesterday. The official ncaa website updates much faster than the bballnet.com rankings. Duke is 9-1 vs quad 1 as of right now.

View attachment 66201

Spoiler: also…

Duke can suck my left nut🖕🏼

 

[redzoner]

So getting blown out like Purdue and Gonzaga did to a good team is better than not blowing out a bad team . What retard thinks like this ? Nerds should not be in charge of ranking metrics

It's a predictive model not a results based model. The Purdue blowout to a top 10 ranked team in their metrics was still worth more than us playing poorly against UC Upstate.

 

[Red Dog]

It’s almost like players take big games more seriously - something the nerds don’t understand

I’m used to Husker teams pissing down their legs for big games, sue me

 

[kaz36]

Wisconsin is still a Q2 for us at 36 after todays update. What would it take for them to become a Q1? I realize there is more weight put on road wins vs home wins, but man, a 30 point win against a team at 36 should look pretty damned good.

 

[V-Doub]

Wisconsin is still a Q2 for us at 36 after todays update. What would it take for them to become a Q1? I realize there is more weight put on road wins vs home wins, but man, a 30 point win against a team at 36 should look pretty damned good.

They play USC at home on Sunday. I’m thinking they’ll be a Q1 if they win that game.

 

[redzoner]

Wisconsin is still a Q2 for us at 36 after todays update. What would it take for them to become a Q1? I realize there is more weight put on road wins vs home wins, but man, a 30 point win against a team at 36 should look pretty damned good.

Have to get up to 30 to be a Q1 win for us.

1-30 Home
1-50 Neutral
1-75 Road

 

[TampaBaySkers]

Wisconsin is still a Q2 for us at 36 after today’s update. What would it take for them to become a Q1? I realize there is more weight put on road wins vs home wins, but man, a 30 point win against a team at 36 should look pretty damned good.

I find it humorous beating WI by 30 counts less than beating NW away.