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Hi guys -
I’ve been thinking a ton about Holgerson’s offense and what we need in order to make it work. It’s obvious he’s got the QB he wants and the most talented one he’s ever had. But what else?
For this exercise I used his 2018 offense that had Will Grier throw for 3800 yards en route to a 4th place finish in the Heisman race. I know; very lofty. But let’s have fun and break down how we get to 3800 yards:
WRs - They come in 3 categories in Holgerson’s offense.
A) 3 guys that catch 700+ yards
B) 1 guy who catches 3-500 yards
C) Everyone else
For this exercise, let’s assume we get Dane Key and can project him in Group A. Let’s also assume we can project Barney to Group A. So the reality is here we need one portal WR (if Key is here) that needs to be a day 1 dude that catches 50 passes for 700-900 yards. This is Jamal Banks level production if you do the math on what he did when Dana took over.
Group B? I feel that you can project a few guys that are on campus now to this group along with guys we signed on Wednesday.
Group C? This is where we can throw the Quinn Clarks and the Keelan Smiths of the world.
Bottom line is I don’t feel comfortable projecting anyone to that top group but Barney and Key (if he’s here). So these are the guys we need.
TE - We need one guy to catch 25-30 passes for around 350-400.
Good news here is that these guys are on campus.
RB - This is where it gets very tough. You need around 3-500 yards receiving from these two And about 2000 yards rushing from this group.
Without EJ, these guys simply aren’t here. This has to have your attention as Dowdell really isn’t a back that’s going to catch out of the backfield and I don’t feel comfortable projecting a true freshman in Parker to give you this either. Dowdell could probably fulfill his rushing quota. But we need two other guys that are going to have to account for another 1000 yards and that’s if you project Dowdell to get to 1k next year.
Where we really need to spend money here is on two WRs including Dane Key and probably two backs that are also healthy Big Ten contributors.
I know most of this isn’t ground breaking stuff. But why I did this is to see just how far away we could be from a top 15 offense next year. The answer is 4 guys, 3 if we can keep EJ.
Now, if we don’t get those 4 we aren’t doomed. But life gets a ton easier to see how this offense will come together if we can add two WRs and two RBs. The good news here is that those guys should be in the portal. We’ve got to come ready to spend some money on them.
I’ve been thinking a ton about Holgerson’s offense and what we need in order to make it work. It’s obvious he’s got the QB he wants and the most talented one he’s ever had. But what else?
For this exercise I used his 2018 offense that had Will Grier throw for 3800 yards en route to a 4th place finish in the Heisman race. I know; very lofty. But let’s have fun and break down how we get to 3800 yards:
WRs - They come in 3 categories in Holgerson’s offense.
A) 3 guys that catch 700+ yards
B) 1 guy who catches 3-500 yards
C) Everyone else
For this exercise, let’s assume we get Dane Key and can project him in Group A. Let’s also assume we can project Barney to Group A. So the reality is here we need one portal WR (if Key is here) that needs to be a day 1 dude that catches 50 passes for 700-900 yards. This is Jamal Banks level production if you do the math on what he did when Dana took over.
Group B? I feel that you can project a few guys that are on campus now to this group along with guys we signed on Wednesday.
Group C? This is where we can throw the Quinn Clarks and the Keelan Smiths of the world.
Bottom line is I don’t feel comfortable projecting anyone to that top group but Barney and Key (if he’s here). So these are the guys we need.
TE - We need one guy to catch 25-30 passes for around 350-400.
Good news here is that these guys are on campus.
RB - This is where it gets very tough. You need around 3-500 yards receiving from these two And about 2000 yards rushing from this group.
Without EJ, these guys simply aren’t here. This has to have your attention as Dowdell really isn’t a back that’s going to catch out of the backfield and I don’t feel comfortable projecting a true freshman in Parker to give you this either. Dowdell could probably fulfill his rushing quota. But we need two other guys that are going to have to account for another 1000 yards and that’s if you project Dowdell to get to 1k next year.
Where we really need to spend money here is on two WRs including Dane Key and probably two backs that are also healthy Big Ten contributors.
I know most of this isn’t ground breaking stuff. But why I did this is to see just how far away we could be from a top 15 offense next year. The answer is 4 guys, 3 if we can keep EJ.
Now, if we don’t get those 4 we aren’t doomed. But life gets a ton easier to see how this offense will come together if we can add two WRs and two RBs. The good news here is that those guys should be in the portal. We’ve got to come ready to spend some money on them.
