Official 2025 Nebraska Cardiac Beaver Slayers Baseball Thread - (17-20)

[Kaladin]

If we win out can we still salvage?

If we win each series and all midweek games we’d get to 30 wins

I think we’d definitely be in the Big 10 tourney and if we win that we get an automatic bid into the NCAA tourney

Or

Between 30 regular season wins and a run in the tourney we’d probably have a decent enough RPI to get into the tourney

 

[PonyBoy]

 

[PonyBoy]

If we win each series and all midweek games we’d get to 30 wins

I think we’d definitely be in the Big 10 tourney and if we win that we get an automatic bid into the NCAA tourney

Or

Between 30 regular season wins and a run in the tourney we’d probably have a decent enough RPI to get into the tourney

2024, we were 34-19 in the regular season & locked in as a 2 seed regardless what happened in the B1Gt. Basically, we were playing for "what 2 seed will we be?"

I don't think 31 regular season W's gets us in this year unless we go 3-1 in the B1Gt. Then it's a prayer for a 3 seed, pending our RPI. 32 wins & there's a chance, 33 and IMO it's a lock...

- 12 conference games left
- 3 weekday games left
- 19-21 current record

32 wins = 13-2 rest of the way.
33 wins = 14-1 rest of the way.

We need a miracle to finish the regular season. I do think we can win the B1Gt as an 7 or 11 seed though.

 

[Jim14510]

2024, we were 34-19 in the regular season & locked in as a 2 seed regardless what happened in the B1Gt. Basically, we were playing for "what 2 seed will we be?"

I don't think 31 regular season W's gets us in this year unless we go 3-1 in the B1Gt. Then it's a prayer for a 3 seed, pending our RPI. 32 wins & there's a chance, 33 and IMO it's a lock...

- 12 conference games left
- 3 weekday games left
- 19-21 current record

32 wins = 13-2 rest of the way.
33 wins = 14-1 rest of the way.

We need a miracle to finish the regular season. I do think we can win the B1Gt as an 7 or 11 seed though.

Not much room for error.

 

[SlumpBuster]

2024, we were 34-19 in the regular season & locked in as a 2 seed regardless what happened in the B1Gt. Basically, we were playing for "what 2 seed will we be?"

I don't think 31 regular season W's gets us in this year unless we go 3-1 in the B1Gt. Then it's a prayer for a 3 seed, pending our RPI. 32 wins & there's a chance, 33 and IMO it's a lock...

- 12 conference games left
- 3 weekday games left
- 19-21 current record

32 wins = 13-2 rest of the way.
33 wins = 14-1 rest of the way.

We need a miracle to finish the regular season. I do think we can win the B1Gt as an 7 or 11 seed though.

How small the margin geez

 

[SlumpBuster]

I do think we can win the B1Gt as an 7 or 11 seed though.

That's what's been so frustrating this year. I think we can all see the potential of the team to do well but we just haven't

 

[PonyBoy]

How small the margin geez

4 games split opening weekend (-1 win)
Series loss to Lafayette (-1 win)
Frisco tournament losing record (-1 win)
Series loss to Washington (-1 win)
Series sweep to UCLA (-1 win)
Series loss to USC (-1 win)
Series loss to Ioa (-1 win)
Loss to Omaha (-1 win)

Omaha & SDSU rained out (-2 games)

We've swept nobody (1 opportunity which results in another -1)

You can't have 7 weekend series losses, sweep 0 & get into Regionals. It's damn near impossible, as we're seeing first hand. The only possibility would be to win every single weekday game, which is very difficult.

* The above is -11 wins
* +6 and we're sitting 25-16
* +8 and we're sitting 27-13

And most likely sitting as a middle of the road 2 seed right now. Comfortably.

 

[PonyBoy]

4 games split opening weekend (-1 win)
Series loss to Lafayette (-1 win)
Frisco tournament losing record (-1 win)
Series loss to Washington (-1 win)
Series sweep to UCLA (-1 win)
Series loss to USC (-1 win)
Series loss to Ioa (-1 win)
Loss to Omaha (-1 win)

Omaha & SDSU rained out (-2 games)

We've swept nobody (1 opportunity which results in another -1)

You can't have 7 weekend series losses, sweep 0 & get into Regionals. It's damn near impossible, as we're seeing first hand. The only possibility would be to win every single weekday game, which is very difficult.

* The above is -11 wins
* +6 and we're sitting 25-16
* +8 and we're sitting 27-13

And most likely sitting as a middle of the road 2 seed right now. Comfortably.

Taking it a step further...

2021 team
* Swept 1 time (no other series loss)
* 4 weekend sweeps (including 2 4-game series)
+12 W's
** 10-3 on game 1 of weekend series (started 1-2)

2024 team
* Opening weekend losing record
* Lost 1 other weekend series
* 4 weekend sweeps
+9 or +10 W's (can't remember if any of our sweeps were 2 game series')
** 11-3 on game 1 of weekend series

Both made Regionals.

2025 team
* 2-1 in Friday games before Macs injury
* 2-5 in Friday games since (4 remaining)

Pretty hard to sweep teams without your Friday guy. And this isn't a knock on Will Walsh at all, but he's no Mason McConnaughey. 1.5 or 2 quality outings in 7 conference Friday games ain't gonna cut it.

This team is likely not to make Regionals. And it starts on Friday's.

(No, this isn't to give Bolt a pass. My record is clear on him)