Will we get the NCAA tournament monkey off of our backs?

[HCFord1]

What's A&M path to winning? All I've really got is that they brutalize us on the offensive glass and have a bunch of second chances opportunities + Nebraska is cold shooting

That's how they made it through the SEC tourney, along with getting to the free throw line.

Second chance points by game:

• 21 against Ole Miss
• 26! against Kentucky (+18 points off turnovers)
• 22 against Florida in a loss (Florida had to shoot 50% from the field and make 14 threes to win this game by 5 points)

Free throws per game:

• 27/37 (73%) vs. Ole Miss
• 22/30 (73%) vs. Kentucky
• 26/32 (81%) vs. Florida

Remember when it felt like Illinois shot an unreasonable number of free throws against us in the semis? They only had 26 attempts; A&M averaged 7 attempts more than that per game in the SEC tourney.

My concern is that we get dominated on the offensive glass, commit a gazillion fouls, and then start chucking up desperation three pointers while we try to play catch up with a small lineup. The key to avoiding that will be to keep Garcia from getting offensive boards. He's basically their Allick, meaning he doesn't try to do much on offense but will be an effort guy trying to play defense and working the glass. I assume we'll have Allick on him, so we'll need him to bring the energy which typically isn't an issue. From a size perspective he should match up fine as well.

Our guards will need to play clean. No need to get crazy with hand checking and no need to ever foul one of their shooters. If we make A&M actually earn their points from the field then we will win this game.

 

[...TrueColors...]

If we can limit their offensive rebounding, I think we win. It's amazing to me how a team that's not that big, leads the nation in offensive rebounding ..

There will be stretches of game on Friday where we have 4 guys on the floor that are all just as tall or taller than their biggest guy.

 

[Baron Winnebago]

That's how they made it through the SEC tourney, along with getting to the free throw line.

Second chance points by game:

• 21 against Ole Miss
• 26! against Kentucky (+18 points off turnovers)
• 22 against Florida in a loss (Florida had to shoot 50% from the field and make 14 threes to win this game by 5 points)

Free throws per game:

• 27/37 (73%) vs. Ole Miss
• 22/30 (73%) vs. Kentucky
• 26/32 (81%) vs. Florida

Remember when it felt like Illinois shot an unreasonable number of free throws against us in the semis? They only had 26 attempts; A&M averaged 7 attempts more than that per game in the SEC tourney.

My concern is that we get dominated on the offensive glass, commit a gazillion fouls, and then start chucking up desperation three pointers while we try to play catch up with a small lineup. The key to avoiding that will be to keep Garcia from getting offensive boards. He's basically their Allick, meaning he doesn't try to do much on offense but will be an effort guy trying to play defense and working the glass. I assume we'll have Allick on him, so we'll need him to bring the energy which typically isn't an issue. From a size perspective he should match up fine as well.

Our guards will need to play clean. No need to get crazy with hand checking and no need to ever foul one of their shooters. If we make A&M actually earn their points from the field then we will win this game.

This is good shit

 

[Seaofred92]

Nebraska needs to block out. If you remember the game at Buttgers, we gave up 25 (!!) offensive rebounds to them, leading to them out rebounding Nebraska by 14 boards, shooting 12 more shots, and ultimately winning as a result.

IF (and it’s a big if) Nebraska puts bodies on players to keep the rebounding margin essentially even, we should be able to eventually outscore them. But if we do a classic Nebraska thing where we just stand and look at the rim waiting for the ball, TAMU will go around us and get boards to score.

In a sense, TAMU and UH are great opponents to play back to back. Very similar scouting reports and sized teams, UH just does what TAMU does on a totally different level. One game at a time but if NU plays TAMU well and wins the game then that bodes well for a R32 game also.

 

[2010sarenevercomingback]

That's how they made it through the SEC tourney, along with getting to the free throw line.

Second chance points by game:

• 21 against Ole Miss
• 26! against Kentucky (+18 points off turnovers)
• 22 against Florida in a loss (Florida had to shoot 50% from the field and make 14 threes to win this game by 5 points)

Free throws per game:

• 27/37 (73%) vs. Ole Miss
• 22/30 (73%) vs. Kentucky
• 26/32 (81%) vs. Florida

Remember when it felt like Illinois shot an unreasonable number of free throws against us in the semis? They only had 26 attempts; A&M averaged 7 attempts more than that per game in the SEC tourney.

My concern is that we get dominated on the offensive glass, commit a gazillion fouls, and then start chucking up desperation three pointers while we try to play catch up with a small lineup. The key to avoiding that will be to keep Garcia from getting offensive boards. He's basically their Allick, meaning he doesn't try to do much on offense but will be an effort guy trying to play defense and working the glass. I assume we'll have Allick on him, so we'll need him to bring the energy which typically isn't an issue. From a size perspective he should match up fine as well.

Our guards will need to play clean. No need to get crazy with hand checking and no need to ever foul one of their shooters. If we make A&M actually earn their points from the field then we will win this game.

Nebraska needs to block out. If you remember the game at Buttgers, we gave up 25 (!!) offensive rebounds to them, leading to them out rebounding Nebraska by 14 boards, shooting 12 more shots, and ultimately winning as a result.

IF (and it’s a big if) Nebraska puts bodies on players to keep the rebounding margin essentially even, we should be able to eventually outscore them. But if we do a classic Nebraska thing where we just stand and look at the rim waiting for the ball, TAMU will go around us and get boards to score.

In a sense, TAMU and UH are great opponents to play back to back. Very similar scouting reports and sized teams, UH just does what TAMU does on a totally different level. One game at a time but if NU plays TAMU well and wins the game then that bodes well for a R32 game also.

These are very good breakdowns, but I think the key to the game is ultimately going to be whether or not we're able to score more points than them. If we do, I like our chances a lot.

 

[Baron Winnebago]

These are very good breakdowns, but I think the key to the game is ultimately going to be whether or not we're able to score more points than them. If we do, I like our chances a lot.

This is both a rudimentary take and one that is absolutely correct. We want to avoid a rock fight

 

[slattimer]

Them being one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the country is what worries me.

 

[Seaofred92]

 

[Black Dean]

78-64 A&M

 

[Frogsker30]

78-64 A&M

Shut up Benedict Turd Alberts

 

[Baron Winnebago]

Shut up Benedict Turd Alberts

@Black Dean only wears Sweater vest November to March and crushes white zin in his skinny jeans

 

[HCFord1]

I watched some of their game against Florida and basically all they do is yolo to the rim and try to get fouled or kick out for a 3 point attempt. I mean Illinois had a ton of success doing that against us but Aggie doesn't have Terry Shannon.

 

[Kaladin]

These are very good breakdowns, but I think the key to the game is ultimately going to be whether or not we're able to score more points than them. If we do, I like our chances a lot.

 

[Kaladin]

78-64 A&M

Wow you might be worse than Dean

 

[BIGSTICK67]

Wow you might be worse than Dean

He is Dean. He's just the black version.

 

[Kaladin]

He is Dean. He's just the black version.

 

[Toe]

 

[CybrrMonky71]

Nebraska needs to block out. If you remember the game at Buttgers, we gave up 25 (!!) offensive rebounds to them, leading to them out rebounding Nebraska by 14 boards, shooting 12 more shots, and ultimately winning as a result.

IF (and it’s a big if) Nebraska puts bodies on players to keep the rebounding margin essentially even, we should be able to eventually outscore them. But if we do a classic Nebraska thing where we just stand and look at the rim waiting for the ball, TAMU will go around us and get boards to score.

In a sense, TAMU and UH are great opponents to play back to back. Very similar scouting reports and sized teams, UH just does what TAMU does on a totally different level. One game at a time but if NU plays TAMU well and wins the game then that bodes well for a R32 game also.

The Big10 allows murder to occur in the paint. Buttgers got all those rebounds bc they were straight up shanking our guys in the lane. Remember how bloodied Mast was from that game
They have worked extensively on rebounding. Game won’t be called like a big10 game.
aTm would need to catch a massive heater to beat us. I don’t think they shoot or defend well enough to beat us. Their PG will be the quickest we’ve seen (other than Tyson Walker of MSU)
This might be a good comp. A faster, worse coached version of Mich St
It’s an excellent matchup for us. I don’t think their quickness will be a major issue bc we are a very good defensive team & our movement on offense will wear them out. Keisei will wear out whoever is chasing him but we need to ensure we can hide Keisei on defense so he’s not exposed 1 on 1. We shouldn’t have to worry about someone taking advantage of him on the perimeter bc nobody they have shoots the 3 consistently. That is usually where our 3 point defense broke down
Throw out aTms last 5 games & it’s not even a question we win easily
aTm was expected to be really good this yr but really underperformed. Recently they have played much better but I’m just not convinced the SEC is that serious about playing defense. There are some freaky big & athletic teams in the SEC. But aTm isn’t one of them. They aren’t anything special other than the quick PG

 

[stonesak]

These are very good breakdowns, but I think the key to the game is ultimately going to be whether or not we're able to score more points than them. If we do, I like our chances a lot.

What do the analytics say? I'm very curious about the correlation of scoring more points than your opponent vs winning percentage.

 

[Jim14510]

My proprietary algorithm predicts a 30-40 point Husker win here

I got 37.9 so your algorithm must be accurate.