The Good and the Bad about playing this USC team this week:
The Bad:
- Trojans have somehow been given two byes in the last month. Nebraska will be playing their 4th game in a row. USC should be in Good health. Huskers are beat up a bit.
- USC has an excellent pass rush. And it's all about athletes. Their d-line has some dudes. They are extremely aggressive up front as well. If Nebraska wants to go toe to toe with them and air it out, similar to what Illinois did a few weeks ago, Raiola will seriously get sacked another 5+ times minimum. And I'm being very conservative there.
- The Huskers haven't faced a balanced offense with this much talent all season. Makai Lemon is a future NFL star. If Nebraska wants to use clock, run the ball, and try to limit possessions, it can protect Raiola. However, it also means the Trojans will likely build a lead, extend it, and put the game of reach before the light show.
- Maiva is like Aiden Chiles with a much better arm, pass protection, pass catchers, and offensive system. They will have less designed runs, but he can easily scramble for 15 on 3rd and 8 if nobody is open.
The Good about playing USC this weekend:
- While most teams play better at home than on the road, USC inexplicably plays like absolute dog shit on the road. They're allowing 28 points and nearly 450 yards per game on the road.
- They also commit 2+ turnovers on the road.
- USC, even before Lincoln Riley took over, was awful during season trips played East of the Mountain Time Zone. They are 1-12 in those games played in the last decade. However, half those losses were to Notre Dame.
- Maiva is 0-6 all time as a road starter vs teams with an above .500 record.
If I had any confidence that Nebraska could protect Raiola, I would feel good about Nebraska lining up and being able to out score the Trojans. But, I don't have that confidence.
Memorial Stadium needs to be extra special on Saturday night. If we can get a night similar to the Michigan game in 2021, then I like Nebraska's chances. That Michigan team had a championship pedigree and was able to overcome the Environment. USC doesn't have that pedigree.
Special teams will need another score. Offense will need to score at least 21, and huskers need to go at least +2 in turnovers because USC will be difficult to slow down consistently.