Starting 2-0

[Blakejc]

The last time we won back-to-back road games was 2006 Bill Callahan. When's the last time a new head coach won his first two road games? Can't be many.

Not saying it's probable or even doable, but if we find ourselves 2-0 on September 9th I can't emphasize how big it would be.

1-0 conference record. 7 of the final 10 games at home. Road games @Illinois, @Mich St., and @Wisconsin. Hardly a gauntlet.

Better or worse, the team can't treat this season like it's a building year or a year zero. They can't be complacent with losing as long as it "looks right". It's there for the taking. I hope they're foaming at the mouth for Minnesota.

 

[HerbRedman]

 

[Mavsker]

The last time we won back-to-back road games was 2006 Bill Callahan. When's the last time a new head coach won his first two road games? Can't be many.

Not saying it's probable or even doable, but if we find ourselves 2-0 on September 9th I can't emphasize how big it would be.

1-0 conference record. 7 of the final 10 games at home. Road games @Illinois, @Mich St., and @Wisconsin. Hardly a gauntlet.

Better or worse, the team can't treat this season like it's a building year or a year zero. They can't be complacent with losing as long as it "looks right". It's there for the taking. I hope they're foaming at the mouth for Minnesota.

If odds of beating MN are 25% and odds of beating Colorado are 80%, odds of beating both are 20%. Doable IMO

Odds of beating neither are 15% OOF
Minnesota loss Colorado win 60%
Minnesota win Colorado loss 5%
All FWIW

 

[CornHub]

 

[JerryBones5]

2 weeks.

 

[Jim14510]

If odds of beating MN are 25% and odds of beating Colorado are 80%, odds of beating both are 20%. Doable IMO

Odds of beating neither are 15% OOF
Minnesota loss Colorado win 60%
Minnesota win Colorado loss 5%
All FWIW

 

[iruletheskool]

If odds of beating MN are 25% and odds of beating Colorado are 80%, odds of beating both are 20%. Doable IMO

Odds of beating neither are 15% OOF
Minnesota loss Colorado win 60%
Minnesota win Colorado loss 5%
All FWIW

 

[11husker23]

If we start 2-0 I’m throwing @Poor_and_Stupid in a well.

 

[HerbRedman]

odds of beating Colorado are 80%

I will continue to say this is too high. Way too high.

We're a 4-8 team vs 1-11 team. Both have new coaches. Both have a shit ton of new players in key positions. Both have new staffs. Both teams are a complete mystery as to what they'll be in 2023. And oh yeah, it's a road game for us in what will be one of the most emotionally charged atmospheres in their school history.

There's no way that one team in this scenario would have an 80% favorability to win this game. ESPECIALLY the road team.

No neutral fan would say this. Husker fans are the only ones saying "Nebraska should expect a blowout win". It's insane. NU as a program is nowhere near any place to be this overconfident about facing ANYONE.

I got the game as a 50-50 coinflip TBH.

 

[Blakejc]

I will continue to say this is too high. Way too high.

We're a 4-8 team vs 1-11 team. Both have new coaches. Both have a shit ton of new players in key positions. Both have new staffs. Both teams are a complete mystery as to what they'll be in 2023. And oh yeah, it's a road game for us in what will be one of the most emotionally charged atmospheres in their school history.

There's no way that one team in this scenario would have an 80% favorability to win this game. ESPECIALLY the road team.

No neutral fan would say this. Husker fans are the only ones saying "Nebraska should expect a blowout win". It's insane. NU as a program is nowhere near any place to be this overconfident about facing ANYONE.

I got the game as a 50-50 coinflip TBH.

ESPN matchup predictor has it 69/31 in favor of the Skers. Minnestoa game is 30/70 in favor of Minny.

20% chance to win both.

Rhule should get a parade down Farnam Street with 3 fishing boats if he starts 2-0.

 

[Mavsker]

I will continue to say this is too high. Way too high.

We're a 4-8 team vs 1-11 team. Both have new coaches. Both have a shit ton of new players in key positions. Both have new staffs. Both teams are a complete mystery as to what they'll be in 2023. And oh yeah, it's a road game for us in what will be one of the most emotionally charged atmospheres in their school history.

There's no way that one team in this scenario would have an 80% favorability to win this game. ESPECIALLY the road team.

No neutral fan would say this. Husker fans are the only ones saying "Nebraska should expect a blowout win". It's insane. NU as a program is nowhere near any place to be this overconfident about facing ANYONE.

I got the game as a 50-50 coinflip TBH.

80% odds isn't a blowout win, I think it's a two score win. I think I could go as low as 70% but I can't go to 50/50. Odds right now have Nebraska by 9.5 and implied win probability is 78%.

 

[huskersoup]

I will continue to say this is too high. Way too high.

We're a 4-8 team vs 1-11 team. Both have new coaches. Both have a shit ton of new players in key positions. Both have new staffs. Both teams are a complete mystery as to what they'll be in 2023. And oh yeah, it's a road game for us in what will be one of the most emotionally charged atmospheres in their school history.

There's no way that one team in this scenario would have an 80% favorability to win this game. ESPECIALLY the road team.

No neutral fan would say this. Husker fans are the only ones saying "Nebraska should expect a blowout win". It's insane. NU as a program is nowhere near any place to be this overconfident about facing ANYONE.

I got the game as a 50-50 coinflip TBH.

100%

Lots of husker fans have just brainwashed themselves we should dominate because they are terrified of losing to them again. Based off nothing football related

 

[BluesBucksNHuskers]

I’ve been too emotionally abused by Nebraska football to bring myself to believe we have any chance in beating Minnesota

 

[GBR305]

The Scott Frost years have absolutely demoralized me. I think we have a 15% chance of beating Minny. Colorado is a 50/50 coin flip.

Fleck is a good football coach and has built a winning program.
Both Nebraska and Colorado underwent massive change this offseason & we don't know how either team will look. My odds may change depending on how CU looks vs TCU and how we look vs Minn.

 

[Cornicator]

ESPN matchup predictor has it 69/31 in favor of the Skers. Minnestoa game is 30/70 in favor of Minny.

20% chance to win both.

Rhule should get a parade down Farnam Street with 3 fishing boats if he starts 2-0.

ESPN Matchup predictor is absolute dog shit during the 1st two weeks of the season. It takes too much previous season data into account. Its the reason Oklahoma was like 4 point favorite all offseason prior to 2022.

 

[Blakejc]

ESPN Matchup predictor is absolute dog shit during the 1st two weeks of the season. It takes too much previous season data into account. Its the reason Oklahoma was like 4 point favorite all offseason prior to 2022.

That’s fair. I do think they got it right in this case. I’m sure there are things we’ll realize in hindsight, but right now I wouldn’t go much higher or lower in either game’s probability, would you?

 

[Pepe Silvia]

Battered fan syndrome is alive and well, apparently

 

[Tonkasker]

Battered fan syndrome is alive and well, apparently

Guilty

 

[HerbRedman]

Battered fan syndrome is alive and well, apparently

I'll say guilty as well.

However in the CU case, I just think no one on earth knows what to expect from them. And if we're being honest, we really don't know what to expect from Nebraska. Combine that w CU's home field/Deion 1st game emotion/Rivalry/etc might be a 5 pt advantage for them that day.

I think it's going to be a 1 score game either way. I don't think think we have enough to even make it 51-49 Nebraska. Not for a road game in this situation.

BTW if it was a game on 11/4 or something, you bet. I'd bet on Nebraska right now in that scenario. But first 2 weeks in the season = complete mystery for both teams.

 

[KidsSeeGhosts]

The Scott Frost years have absolutely demoralized me. I think we have a 15% chance of beating Minny. Colorado is a 50/50 coin flip.

Fleck is a good football coach and has built a winning program.
Both Nebraska and Colorado underwent massive change this offseason & we don't know how either team will look. My odds may change depending on how CU looks vs TCU and how we look vs Minn.

I'm not a believer in Fleck. Tanner Morgan and Ibrahim started for 4.5+ years there, and are now getting replaced. Ton of turnover on the OL. Decent amount of AC turnover. Would not be surprised at all if this is a really bad season for them.