POLL Post-OSU record predictions

[Seaofred92]

ESPN FPI win % chances by opponent:

UCLAbia: 63.5%
@ USC: 14.2%
Wisconsin: 37.1%
@ Cockeye: 27.1%

Statistical probability of between 0-4 wins remaining schedule using the percentages above:

 

[Stan Raymond]

I was at 8-4 before the season, but thought we'd be 6-2 right now, so I'm down to 7-5 now.

 

[Seaofred92]

ESPN FPI win % chances by opponent:

UCLAbia: 63.5%
@ USC: 14.2%
Wisconsin: 37.1%
@ Cockeye: 27.1%

Statistical probability of between 0-4 wins remaining schedule using the percentages above:

View attachment 43794

These numbers may update or change tomorrow so I’ll come back and revisit if so. Still, essentially 75% chance of 1-2 wins.

 

[ThomOsborneMD]

8-4. Gonna smash the California teams. Think we lose an ugly one to either wiscy or Cockeye

 

[HerbRedman]

7-5 now that our FG kicking game got a Hohl lot better today.

Correct

 

[HerbRedman]

ESPN FPI win % chances by opponent:

UCLAbia: 63.5%
@ USC: 14.2%
Wisconsin: 37.1%
@ Cockeye: 27.1%

Statistical probability of between 0-4 wins remaining schedule using the percentages above:

View attachment 43794

There is no way USC has an 85% chance of beating us. They're not that good. 55% maybe. Not 85%.

 

[gtlacey]

These numbers may update or change tomorrow so I’ll come back and revisit if so. Still, essentially 75% chance of 1-2 wins.

TeamRankings has us at 6.7-5.3.

I’m surprised they think USC, Cockeye, and Wiscy are all top 30 teams basically. None of them strike me as that good but I do think the win probability for each game is pretty accurate. They have us at #45 in the nation which feels pretty accurate.

 

[NorthWillRiseAgain]

IF Nebraska beats UCLAbia, I think you will see a much more free flowing team after. I think that 6 win hump is keeping everyone from taking chances.

Win the next one and I truly feel you will see a weight lifted in the way they play in November.