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POLL Post-OSU record predictions

What will be our final record be at the end of the regular season?


  • Total voters
    103
ESPN FPI win % chances by opponent:

UCLAbia: 63.5%
@ USC: 14.2%
WiscyDicks: 37.1%
@ Cockeye: 27.1%

Statistical probability of between 0-4 wins remaining schedule using the percentages above:

IMG_0008.jpeg
 
ESPN FPI win % chances by opponent:

UCLAbia: 63.5%
@ USC: 14.2%
WiscyDicks: 37.1%
@ Cockeye: 27.1%

Statistical probability of between 0-4 wins remaining schedule using the percentages above:

View attachment 43794
These numbers may update or change tomorrow so I’ll come back and revisit if so. Still, essentially 75% chance of 1-2 wins.
 
ESPN FPI win % chances by opponent:

UCLAbia: 63.5%
@ USC: 14.2%
WiscyDicks: 37.1%
@ Cockeye: 27.1%

Statistical probability of between 0-4 wins remaining schedule using the percentages above:

View attachment 43794
There is no way USC has an 85% chance of beating us. They're not that good. 55% maybe. Not 85%.
 
These numbers may update or change tomorrow so I’ll come back and revisit if so. Still, essentially 75% chance of 1-2 wins.

TeamRankings has us at 6.7-5.3.

I’m surprised they think USC, Cockeye, and Wiscy are all top 30 teams basically. None of them strike me as that good but I do think the win probability for each game is pretty accurate. They have us at #45 in the nation which feels pretty accurate.

IMG_7070.png
 
IF Nebraska beats UCLAbia, I think you will see a much more free flowing team after. I think that 6 win hump is keeping everyone from taking chances.

Win the next one and I truly feel you will see a weight lifted in the way they play in November.
 

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