Official 2024 Nebraska Cardiac Beaver Slayers Baseball Thread (32-18) (15 Viewers)

[vailhusker]

 

[PonyBoy]

So who pitches today?

Walsh gets the ball in game 3.

 

[Kaladin]

10-2

 

[Kaladin]

Thankfully our boys seem to have kept their feet on the gas. Get this win and then bring some momentum into game 3.

 

[PonyBoy]

Game 3 will be a bitch. Brecht is the best arm we will have seen to date. Pre-season top 10 player in college.

 

[Kaladin]

 

[SOHusker11]

 

[Kaladin]

Cockeye with 1-0 in game 3

 

[Kaladin]

2-0 cockeyes

 

[SoCal_Corn]

Cockeye has bad corn

 

[PonyBoy]

Like to see an adjustment second time thru.

Way too many 1-0, 2-0 looking at strike 1. Get back to hunting and attack.

I know it's way easier to say it than do it against an elite arm like Brecht but damn we gotta give ourselves a chance. Pitch count is irrelevant with him, he'll go 100-115 today.

 

[PonyBoy]

Like to see an adjustment second time thru.

Way too many 1-0, 2-0 looking at strike 1. Get back to hunting and attack.

I know it's way easier to say it than do it against an elite arm like Brecht but damn we gotta give ourselves a chance. Pitch count is irrelevant with him, he'll go 100-115 today.

Much, much better! Get after his fucking ass.

 

[Kaladin]

3-1

 

[HuskerDocCo]

3-1 Cockeye

 

[Kaladin]

4-1 now

 

[HuskerDocCo]

4-1 now

im gonna pop some prune juice shots and hope that helps w my rally hat

 

[PonyBoy]

Bullpen v Cockeye
10 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 12 K. The 1 run was on a wild pitch, where we K'd the hitter 2 pitches later.

Incredible weekend for that group! Need it to carry over Tuesday & Wednesday.

 

[turek420845]

Sweep would have been nice, but I'll take the series win.

 

[PonyBoy]

After the Maryland series
Q1 = 1-5
Q2 = 14-6
Q3 = 3-1
Q4 = 7-0

#17 RPI non-conference
#19 RPI overall

#13 SOS non-conference
#27 SOS overall

All metrics, as it currently stands, are good enough to host. Now it's up to us to start winning each week. Yes, series are important but we have to win a couple midweeks. And it starts against Kansas!!

Couldn't of had a worse week from our previous opponents. Devastating from a hosting standpoint. We had a major move of Q2 games to Q3 games; 11 total game swing. One good thing, our Q1 improved courtesy of College of Charleston (we won series 3-0) but hot damn the Q2 v Q3 movement is fucking devastating....

After the Cockeye series
Q1 = 4-4
Q2 = 5-4 (Q2 was 14-6 a week ago)
Q3 = 14-6 (Q3 was 3-1 a week ago)
Q4 = 4-0

#25 RPI non-conference
#25 RPI overall

#14 SOS non-conference
#35 SOS overall

Pickle Smoochers have now lost 3 straight Big East series (they're undefeated during the week though) and are in jeopardy of not making the Big East tournament. No joke. Big East only takes the top 4 teams to their tournament; Jays are currently in 5th place - 2 games out of 4th place, with 9 conference games remaining. And of their 9 BE games remaining, 6 of them are St Johns (3rd place) and UCONN (1st place) and all 6 are on the road in back to back weeks. BRUTAL for us.

 

[PonyBoy]

I decided to hold off for the weekend as the loss to Kansas had my head spinning. Great news, we had a 1-3 week and our RPI improved a couple spots.

36 regular season wins and it's projected our RPI will be high enough that we're in the NCAA tournament. 38 regular season wins, which means we go 16-4 (unlikely) and we're still in deep discussions to host a Regional. 40 wins, which means we go 18-2 (UNLIKELY) the rest of the regular season and we're a lock to host. I'll do my best to update this after each week, as it matters who we win/lose to makes a difference.

"Minimum required" will fluctuate each week. Example, if we go 3-1 April 16-21 then we're +1 in Q2 games so we can afford a -1 in a different week in Q2 games. This is way more fluid than basketball simply because of the number of games scheduled in baseball (56) compared to basketball (31/32). Plus, our opponents Quad standing may be different by the time we play them.

Currently 22-10 with 20 games remaining

April 16-21 v Pickle Smoochers, Maryland x3
2-2 minimum required
All 4 games are currently Q2 & all are home games

^^ This sets the tone. I'd love a 3-1 record as that puts us +1 with 16 games remaining

24-12 hypothetical

April 23-28 v Kansas, Cockeye x3
3-1 minimum required
1 game is Q3, 3 games are Q4 & all are home games (fucking Cockeye was expected to be a Q1 team, they're currently Q4)

27-13 hypothetical

April 30-May 5 v @ Pickle Smoochers, Kansas State, @ Minnesota x3
3-2 minimum required
1 game is Q1, 1 game is Q2 & 3 games are Q3

30-15 hypothetical

May 8-12 v South Dakota State, Indiana x3
3-1 minimum required
1 game is Q4, 3 games are Q3

33-16 hypothetical

May 16-18 v @ Michigan State x3
3-0
All games are Q2

36-16 hypothetical

^^ At this point, our RPI is projected (today) to be high enough to be a lock in the NCAA. Around 22-28 is where I have our RPI with a 36-16 regular season record.

Reminder, Quads will fluctuate from week to week so I'm going to do my best to update this. It's tough AF though...

In case anyone brings up 2022 Rutgers and their 44 wins not enough to make the NCAA. They had a 44 RPI and not only that, 43 of their 59 games were played against Quad 3 (14-3) & Quad 4 teams (22-4). That's absolutely pathetic & brutal. Our 2024 schedule currently has 11 games against Q3 (6-1) and Q4 (4-0). As of today, we're scheduled to have 11 more Q3/Q4 games so it'll be a total of 22 games which is a FAR CRY from 2022 Rutgers schedule combining for 43 games against Q3 & Q4.

Alrighty, let me have it. 🙃

27-13 was the hypothetical goal at this point and we're 27-14 (I missed a game originally, and mentioned that last week).

April 23-28 v Kansas, Cockeye x3
3-1 minimum required
1 game is Q3, 3 games are Q4 & all are home games (fucking Cockeye was expected to be a Q1 team, they're currently Q4)

-1 in W/L minimum required but at least Cockeye turned out to be a Q3 - at this moment - instead of a Q4. I do think there's a good chance they stay a Q3 as their remaining schedule is very favorable to them, and they still have Brecht & Morgan throwing 2 games every weekend.

**********************************

April 30-May 5 v @ Pickle Smoochers, Kansas State, @ Minnesota x3
3-2 minimum required
1 game is Q1, 1 game is Q2 & 3 games are Q3

I still believe a 36-17 (36-16 prior to missing 1 game) regular season record will have our metrics good enough to make the NCAA tournament. Hosting looks to be off the table unless we go 4-1 this week then we should be back on the bubble as a host.