Here's how I see it...
Must-win games:
12/21 - North Dakota
12/30 - New Hampshire
1/13 - Oregon
1/21 - Washington
2/14 - Northwestern
2/21 - Penn St
2/25 - Maryland
3/8 - Cockeye
Coin-flip games:
12/10 - Wisconsin
1/17 - @Northwestern
1/24 - @Minnesota
2/7 - @Rutgers
Games to steal:
12/13 - @Illinois
1/2 - Michigan St
1/5 - @Ohio St
1/10 - @Indiana
2/1 - Illinois
2/10 - Purdue
2/17 - @Cockeye
2/28 - @USC
3/3 - @UCLA
Only game not included is @Michigan. I just don't see that as a winnable game with as tough as they have looked and it being on the road.
We need to win all of our must-wins, spit out coin-flips and steal two games.