I have got 2, but I am not planning to decide whether I am going until about 5 minutes before kickoff. If I am blasted drunk, I will likely go (probably 75% chance). this is the most likely scenario, likely above 90% probability. But if I am only moderately blasted, I would put the the line at EVEN. That scenario is much less likely, but still somewhat probable. The least likely scenario (<5%) is that I am sober, but if I am, I will gladly sell you the tix from whatever bar I am at come kickoff.