ESPN 2022 Conference Championship Projections

[vailhusker]

 

[Kaladin]

Should really only be 2 outcomes:

1. Frost wins the division and gets retained
2. Frost doesn't win the division and he gets fired and we hire Urban Meyer

 

[Tsakoi]

Either someone at ESPN done smoked up all the crack or I have.

 

[RedSavage]

ESPN be like...

 

[Kaladin]

Either someone at ESPN done smoked up all the crack or I have.

ESPN be like...

It's believe its based on their FPI statistical rankings.

2024 College Football Power Index - ESPN

View the 2024 College Football power index on ESPN. The FPI is the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season.

www.espn.com

 

[That SOB Van Owen]

lol, this shit is so stupid. I really, really, really hope I am wrong, but I’m still saying 4-8. Ceiling is 6-6. IMO.

 

[lee_carvallo_12]

lol, this shit is so stupid. I really, really, really hope I am wrong, but I’m still saying 4-8. Ceiling is 6-6. IMO.

I’m with you. Our OL is gonna get embarrassed each week and potentially leave 2-3 QBs permanently crippled.

 

[slattimer]

It's believe its based on their FPI statistical rankings.

2024 College Football Power Index - ESPN

View the 2024 College Football power index on ESPN. The FPI is the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season.

www.espn.com

We've done a great job of taking gigantic shits on FPI and any projects related to them.

 

[doublewing]

LOL at FPI. Has ESPN heard of the "Frost Factor?" Frost Factor = Expected wins minus three. If Vegas thinks we win 7.5, we should come in at 4.5. The .5 will be for a close game that everyone hangs their hat on as progress.

 

[Ripping Lips]

ESPN just using gullible Husker fans for click bait.

 

[Kaladin]

Speaking of ESPN FPI:

ESPN FPI projections for every game on Nebraska's schedule

.

247sports.com

They have us with over 50% win probability in 8 of our games.

Losses to Oklahoma, Purdue, Michigan, and Cockeye

 

[Huskersballz]

Last year’s Nebraska was such a statistical outlier that models now have no clue what to do with them.

 

[turek420845]

Speaking of ESPN FPI:

ESPN FPI projections for every game on Nebraska's schedule

.

247sports.com

They have us with over 50% win probability in 8 of our games.

Losses to Oklahoma, Purdue, Michigan, and Cockeyes

They think we in the ship with 3 conference Ls?

 

[YankeesJunkie]

Last year’s Nebraska was such a statistical outlier that models now have no clue what to do with them.

TBF, FPI had N at 4-8 last year

Aug 28: at Illinois — 64.8% (W)
Sept. 4: vs. Fordham — 99.3% (W)
Sept. 11: vs. Buffalo — 68.5% (W)
Sept. 18: at Oklahoma — 5.6% (L)
Sept. 25: at Michigan State — 38.3% (L)
Oct. 2: vs. Northwestern — 48.7% (L)
Oct. 9: vs. Michigan — 47.5% (L)
Oct. 16: at Minnesota — 39.6% (L)
Oct. 30: vs. Purdue — 62.5% (W)
Nov. 6: vs. Ohio State — 13.2% (L)
Nov. 20: at Wisconsin — 25.2% (L)
Nov. 26: vs. Cockeye — 42.4% (L)

 

[BorWhiskey]

They think we in the ship with 3 conference Ls?

View attachment 12416

If they have us with the tie breaker over Wiscy, I could see it.

 

[BorWhiskey]

Last year’s Nebraska was such a statistical outlier that models now have no clue what to do with them.

Their formula needs to incorporate something like if(and(school=Nebraska, [projected win]=true), [point spread]+(-1*[point spread])-1,… or some kind of “min” of the win/loss projections.

 

[Kaladin]

TBF, FPI had N at 4-8 last year

Aug 28: at Illinois — 64.8% (W)
Sept. 4: vs. Fordham — 99.3% (W)
Sept. 11: vs. Buffalo — 68.5% (W)
Sept. 18: at Oklahoma — 5.6% (L)
Sept. 25: at Michigan State — 38.3% (L)
Oct. 2: vs. Northwestern — 48.7% (L)
Oct. 9: vs. Michigan — 47.5% (L)
Oct. 16: at Minnesota — 39.6% (L)
Oct. 30: vs. Purdue — 62.5% (W)
Nov. 6: vs. Ohio State — 13.2% (L)
Nov. 20: at Wisconsin — 25.2% (L)
Nov. 26: vs. Cockeyes — 42.4% (L)

In 2020 FPI had us winning 2-3 games on our schedule

Maybe its somewhat accurate