Anyone got the goods on this one?
“This about someone who wanted to bet on coach Rhule, he wanted to bet on the players who are there, the players who are coming, the University of Nebraska, the
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McKewon: Why Dylan Raiola raises the ceiling of Nebraska football
Sam McKewon breaks down the impact of Dylan Raiola's commitment to Nebraska
LINCOLN — Cold November winds wailed a tune Matt Rhule had already hummed.
You better have a man whose spiral can find its target without a wobble. When your offense ranks 129th in the FBS in passing yards per game, 125th in completion rate and 130th in pass efficiency, the arms on hand ain’t cuttin’ the breeze.
The five-star quarterback signed Wednesday before most fans awoke, as if to send a message that if he came late to NU’s 2024 recruiting class, he intends to lead it now.
During an in-house interview with Nebraska, he said nice things about the program being in his blood and being “home.” Ask Dylan’s dad, Dominic, and the feeling started to grow during Dylan’s senior year at Buford (Ga.) High.
“We took it for granted that he’s going to Georgia, an hour from our house,” Dominic said Wednesday night. “I guess there was something pulling at him, something nudging him, for him to come to us.”
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That was Dec. 10, when Dylan shared his heart to his parents.
“I don’t think anybody knew — my brother didn’t know,” Dominic said, referring to NU offensive line coach Donovan Raiola. “It was out of the blue, because that was the next step — call coach Rhule, see what he says. Shoot, he might say, ‘We don’t have room for you, we can’t take you. It was fair for him to call coach Rhule and see what the response was.”
We know what Rhule’s response was.
Dylan Raiola’s call was able to shift the trajectory of an offseason, and maybe a program, for one big reason.
“After a spending a year in the Big Ten and the weather that we play in, having big quarterbacks with big hands who can spin the ball is vital,” Rhule said early in Wednesday's press conference. “I think Dylan certainly gives us that. Seeing the throws he was making this year in high school, they’re a lot of the same throws that we’re going to ask him to throw. And he threw them at a high level.”
So well that NU stopped kicking Kyle McCord’s transfer tires. The Ohio State quarterback landed at Syracuse, where new coach Fran Brown, who played for Rhule, happily added a fourth-year veteran.
Nebraska passed, if you will, on McCord — and not because Raiola, a confident kid with more tools than McCord, demanded it. Rhule framed it as a program choice.
“We made a decision,” Rhule said. “Hey, we’re gonna go young, we’re going to go with the guys we have and the two freshmen, and build.”
Bold choice in the midst of a seven-year bowl drought. Chubba Purdy’s already out the door. If NU said no to McCord and Purdy exited stage Boise, which transfer might be willing to battle a five-star prospect?
But that’s how good Raiola can be. That’s what he does for this program’s ceiling. To go where Nebraska wants to go — the expanded College Football Playoff — it needed a higher ceiling.
One of the 2023 CFP starting quarterbacks, Washington’s Michael Penix, is a 33rd-year senior or whatever. The other three were the Nos. 1, 25 and 82 players in the nation in 2021, according to 247Sports composite. Yeah, they play for good teams. But they’re good quarterbacks, too.
Was NU going to be in McCord’s one year what UW is in 2023? Probably not.
It still might have been worth the gamble. Older guy, superstar freshman — but a glance at NU’s rosters shows 60 scholarship underclassmen, 48 are either true or redshirt freshmen.
If ever Nebraska desired to have a core group grow up together — playing for a coach who actually believes in trying that — this is the moment.
So long as some Husker quarterback can outplay the position’s performance from last year.
That’s when Rhule and Co. resorted to the 1992 NU offense to create big plays. Load options, power tosses and Heinrich Haarberg getting knocked into next week.
A vaulted ceiling rules so long as the floor isn’t made of plywood. Patience wanes. Nebraska blew its bowl chances this year with injuries and quarterback-fueled turnovers. It can’t miss postseason parties again for the same reason.
Raiola has zero collegiate experience, but leads the offseason quarterback race by default.
Yeah, that’s tough to write about the toughest guy — Haarberg. But it’s where it’s gotten. It’s a 52.1% completion rate, 6.2 yards per attempt and a bazillion turnovers.
And look: Raiola’s arm talent — 65, 70 yards in the air — is real. Raiola can stand in a pocket and hum all the hardest throws. He doesn’t Scott Frost shot put or Sam Keller push the ball, either. It can come out over the top, like a catcher trying to gun down a runner at second base, or in a jazzy, improvisational sidearm that makes on-the-move passes easier.
And the deep ball is pretty, on the mark. The ability to hit a deep throw changes a defense. If those safeties have to fear Raiola’s ability, they stick their noses a little less into the run game. If Raiola can accurately fire a deep in route to Keelan Smith, good luck playing a wispy zone.
Of course, Haarberg has arm talent, too. And he’s athletic enough to play tight end, too. So Raiola’s arm has to be matched with a steel trap mind.
Dominic tells the story of Dylan watching film constantly, of looking up Patrick Mahomes trainer, getting Mahomes workout regimen and doing it on Tuesdays and Thursdays at 6 a.m.
“He’s just a football junkie,” Dominic said.
Nebraska believes the same. Believes enough in Raiola to risk losing a current QB — already happened — and send McCord off to the ACC without an offer.
“This game comes down to way more than just arm talent,” Rhule said. “To us it’s about teaching him the way we see things, the way we process things so he can play fast and play free.”
Who’s going to be the roster of coaches teaching him? Rhule’s not ready to say. Sometime in January, you’ll know.
What Rhule also wants to offer Raiola is a pro-style offense like the 49ers, featuring Brock Purdy, a medium-armed talent who might win MVP this season. Hey, it’s a cool scheme that balances power run plays — Nebraska already uses them — with throws all over the yard. Throws Raiola has made and can make. Throws he’ll need to make to take a young team where it wants to go.
Nebraska football hasn’t had an easy season in a decade. It is in many ways the opposite of Georgia, which can surround Stetson Bennett or Carson Beck with so much five-star talent that it makes QB play more of a cinch.
Perhaps Dylan Raiola wanted more than just a real home for college. He wanted a challenge, too. If so, he’s got one.
“This about someone who wanted to bet on coach Rhule, he wanted to bet on the players who are there, the players who are coming, the University of Nebraska, the state of Nebraska and ultimately on himself,” Dominic Raiola said. “And I say ‘himself’ last because this is ultimately a selfless decision. It’s selfless. His statement was: ‘I just feel like there’s a greater purpose. I want to serve a purpose bigger than myself.’”
Nebraska raised its ceiling Wednesday.
But there’s still the matter of NU’s floor.
You can set it at seven for 2024. Fans will anyway.
Welcome the fish bowl, five star.
Dylan Raiola seems ready for it.