Andy Staples Show:

[djw004]

Pretty good discussion on the firing, what's next, etc. Ari clearly playing devil's advocate and saying some dumb shit throughout, but it is a debating/ideas type show so I get the need to fill that even when it doesn't make sense.

One of the more eye-opening things I somehow hadn't even thought of - When it comes to Scott Frost's record in 1 score games, Staples made the point that if you are building a strong/winning culture you SHOULDN'T BE in that many 1 score games. You should be taking care of lesser opponents with more ease and separating yourself from the pack. So the one score game record is a bit of a bloviated stat anyways.

So I looked - What do the numbers say? Is that an accurate take?

13/27 one score games that Scott Frost coached in were against opponents that finished their season at 1 game above .500 or worse OR were in a far lesser conference that were a "pay to get embarrassed" game. Half of those one score games were against teams we should have been SEPARATING from and shouldn't be in 1 score coin flips to begin with.

SINGLE SCORE OPPONENT	W/L	OPPONENT FINAL RECORD
Colorado	L	5-7
Troy	L	10-3 (sun belt)
Northwestern	L	9-5
Ohio State	L	13-1
Michigan State	W	7-6
Cockeye	L	9-4
Colorado	L	5-7
Illinois	W	6-7
Northwestern	W	3-9
Indiana	L	8-5
Purdue	L	4-8
Cockeye	L	10-3
Northwestern	L	7-2
Penn State	W	4-5
Cockeye	L	6-2
Minnesota	L	3-4
Rutgers	W	3-6
Illinois	L	5-7
Oklahoma	L	11-2
Michigan State	L	11-2
Michigan	L	12-2
Minnesota	L	9-4
Purdue	L	9-4
Wisconsin	L	9-4
Cockeye	L	10-4
Northwestern	L	1-1
Georgia Southern	L	2-0 (sun belt)

 

[Baron Winnebago]

Oklahoma	L	11-2
Michigan State	L	11-2
Michigan	L	12-2
Minnesota	L	9-4
Purdue	L	9-4
Wisconsin	L	9-4
Cockeyes	L	10-4

Damn

 

[DrinkItIn]

SINGLE SCORE OPPONENT	W/L	OPPONENT FINAL RECORD
Colorado	L	5-7
Troy	L	10-3 (sun belt)
Northwestern	L	9-5
Ohio State	L	13-1
Michigan State	W	7-6
Cockeyes	L	9-4
Colorado	L	5-7
Illinois	W	6-7
Northwestern	W	3-9
Indiana	L	8-5
Purdue	L	4-8
Cockeyes	L	10-3
Northwestern	L	7-2
Penn State	W	4-5
Cockeyes	L	6-2
Minnesota	L	3-4
Rutgers	W	3-6
Illinois	L	5-7
Oklahoma	L	11-2
Michigan State	L	11-2
Michigan	L	12-2
Minnesota	L	9-4
Purdue	L	9-4
Wisconsin	L	9-4
Cockeyes	L	10-4
Northwestern	L	1-1
Georgia Southern	L	2-0 (sun belt)

 

[Bootleg11]

Brutal

But also fuck that schedule last year was brutal.

 

[Driveway Jordan]

Bill Jennings is rolling over in his grave.

 

[djw004]

Brutal

But also fuck that schedule last year was brutal.

I thought the same thing as I was building this. Like - those weren’t programs to be “pulling away from” but rather to “compete with” when all at their best.

Obviously I’d expect we generally pull away from Minnesota (their best should compete with our norm), Michigan State (1 year at 11-2, let’s see their sustained level), Purdue (see Minnesota)

But god - last year all those programs were at their heights.