If we beat Rutgers at home and lose to Michigan away, do we make the tournament?
Yes, I would think NU would be solidly in the tournament if they beat Rutgers and went 1-1 to finish. Wisconsin and NW both have 3 tough games left. NU, going 1-1, still has a legitimate shot to finish in the top 4 of the B1G and get the double bye.
Bracket Matrix has NU in 109 out of 109 brackets. NU could still get in by finishing 0-2 but remain in the top 6 of the B1G. They should avoid that scenario, but win Sunday, and I think NU would be a lock for the NCAA.