nscottie said:

Line down to 5.5

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TalaricoHusker said:

so does this mean people are taking cincy hard here or what I don’t understand betting very well

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• You said earlier: most of the money was on Nebraska (NU).
• If that’s still true but the line drops from -6.5 → -5.5, it likely means:
  • Respected sharp money (professional bettors) has come in on the other team.
  • Sportsbooks are reacting to that sharp action, even if the public is still pounding NU.

• They may think Nebraska is overvalued, or that matchup data favors the underdog more than models suggest.
• This happens a lot when the early hype is on the favorite.

• Sometimes insider news — like a player injury, weather changes, or practice reports — triggers sharp bets and line adjustments.

• The book may be managing liability.
  • If too much exposure builds on NU and sharp action takes the dog, they shade the line lower to balance the risk.

• It could mean the true value is closer to -5.5 or -6 — not a double-digit favorite.

• If it drops further, like to -5 or -4.5 → strong sharp action on the underdog.
• If it bounces back up, like to -6 or -6.5 → books adjusted but still see heavy buyback on Nebraska.

vailhusker said:

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