Game Thread Nebraska v Cincinnati (Kansas City, MO) - Thursday, August 28 8:00pm ESPN

[Tezzer]

We aren't going to need Archie tonight.

 

[vailhusker]

Watching the pregame show on youtube and Archie is insane lol.
Kicked it lefty from the centerfield logo and the returner caught it at the 1

 

[nscottie]

Line down to 5.5

 

[BluesBucksNHuskers]

If Scott Frosts game against Jacksonville state gets rained out I’m going to die laughing

 

[vailhusker]

 

[Mavsker]

Line down to 5.5

 

[1HuskerDad]

Had a friend send me this. I-29 between Hwy 2 south of Omaha and KC

View attachment 57499

Looks like Highway 2 / 75 ramp at NC

 

[vailhusker]

 

[jaihawk]

It’s been so fucked. We just keep having Siri give us short cuts around bad traffic and getting back on the interstate. Just passed St Joe 4 hours into the drive

I took 75 to Sabetha and wound my way to Platte City. Avoided most of the bullshit... Took 30 minutes to park once we scanned though, which was ridiculous.

 

[Kaladin]

35 min

 

[Kaladin]

Line down to 5.5

What’s goin on there

 

[Baron Winnebago]

What’s goin on there

People running towards the water going out to sea right before a tsunami

 

[HuskerDocCo]

People running towards the water going out to sea right before a tsunami

omg shit man hahahaha

 

[TalaricoHusker]

Line down to 5.5

so does this mean people are taking cincy hard here or what I don’t understand betting very well

 

[EwokRhuler]

25 minutes to go...what the fuck is a bearcat anyway?

 

[vailhusker]

 

[vailhusker]

 

[vailhusker]

 

[Kaladin]

so does this mean people are taking cincy hard here or what I don’t understand betting very well

If the line moved down from -6.5 to -5.5, here’s what that usually signals:

1. Reverse Line Movement (RLM)

This is when the line moves opposite of the public money.

• You said earlier: most of the money was on Nebraska (NU).
• If that’s still true but the line drops from -6.5 → -5.5, it likely means:
  • Respected sharp money (professional bettors) has come in on the other team.
  • Sportsbooks are reacting to that sharp action, even if the public is still pounding NU.

2. Possible Reasons
a) Sharps See Value on the Opponent

• They may think Nebraska is overvalued, or that matchup data favors the underdog more than models suggest.
• This happens a lot when the early hype is on the favorite.

b) Injury or Information Shift

• Sometimes insider news — like a player injury, weather changes, or practice reports — triggers sharp bets and line adjustments.

c) Book Balancing

• The book may be managing liability.
  • If too much exposure builds on NU and sharp action takes the dog, they shade the line lower to balance the risk.

3. Market Sentiment

A line drop like this is a warning sign:

The market (especially sharp bettors) may no longer agree with the “Nebraska should be -14” narrative.

• It could mean the true value is closer to -5.5 or -6 — not a double-digit favorite.

4. What to Watch

• If it drops further, like to -5 or -4.5 → strong sharp action on the underdog.
• If it bounces back up, like to -6 or -6.5 → books adjusted but still see heavy buyback on Nebraska.

 

[Kaladin]

Damn hartzog pulling double duty

That’s concerning