How many B1G road games would Colorado win?

[HerbRedman]

If you had to put your own money up, how many head-to-head matchups would you pick Colorado to win ON THE ROAD?

Here is a current B1G Power Rankings (most blogs are similar to this). Colorado BTW won 2 road games last year: at TCU in the opener and at ASU in conference.

Current B1G Power Rankings (9/4)
1. Ohio State
2. Penn State
3. USC
4. Michigan
5. Oregon
6. Cockeye
7. Nebraska
8. Washington
9. Maryland
10. Rutgers
11. Wisconsin
12. Indiana
13. Northwestern
14. Illinois
15. Purdue
16. UCLA
17. Michigan State
18. Minnesota

 

[HerbRedman]

A lot of people on here said that this CU at NU game is going to be close & go down to the last minute.

So by that logic I'm assuming most people think CU would beat several B1G teams on the road. I expect to see that bear out in the poll results.

 

[Stan Raymond]

A lot of people on here said that this CU at NU game is going to be close & go down to the last minute.

So by that logic I'm assuming most people think CU would beat several B1G teams on the road. I expect to see that bare out in the poll results.

Good thought. So many expect 7-0 if we beat Colorado, guess they think Colorado is better than Purdue, Illinois, Indiana and Rutgers.

 

[HerbRedman]

Good thought. So many expect 7-0 if we beat Colorado, guess they think Colorado is better than Purdue, Illinois, Indiana and Rutgers.

Yep.... you saw what I was driving at.

Most NU fans are saying CU would lose on the road to 17 out of 18 B1G teams. But then you ask them about Saturday's game and they're like "I'm super nervous, CU has a great chance of beating us."

So our fans are basically saying NU is the worst team in the B1G. 🤔

If Colorado is only capable of beating one B1G team on the road....I don't know why that would be Nebraska. NU is clearly a top 1/2 quality or maybe top 10 quality in the B1G.

 

[Stan Raymond]

Yep.... you saw what I was driving at.

Most NU fans are saying CU would lose on the road to 17 out of 18 B1G teams. But then you ask them about Saturday's game and they're like "I'm super nervous, CU has a great chance of beating us."

So our fans are basically saying NU is the worst team in the B1G. 🤔

If Colorado is only capable of beating one B1G team on the road....I don't know why that would be Nebraska. NU is clearly a top 1/2 quality or maybe top 10 quality in the B1G.

I think we are 7th in the B1G right now and Colorado is 12th in the Big 12. Watching both games so far, Nebraska should win this game pretty comfortably.

 

[HerbRedman]

I think we are 7th in the B1G right now and Colorado is 12th in the Big 12. Watching both games so far, Nebraska should win this game pretty comfortably.

Yeah, the point I'm trying to make is that our fans seem to think that Colorado would get smoked vs literally any B1G team if they played a road game today. (Presumably bc the B1G trenches are just too big/strong)

So I'm not sure why they see Colorado coming into Lincoln and beating NU. I assume most of it is PTSD/curse talk. I assume if you removed that you'd have a fanbase that was pretty comfortable with a -8 to -10 possible spread.

 

[2010sarenevercomingback]

They were a 4-8 team who won 1 conference game in 2023. B1G is better than the Pac-whatever, and on a random schedule draw, they probably win 1-2 games in the B1G. Maybe 4 or so teams in the whole conference they might beat regularly.

 

[Papa...Football]

There is definitely a lot of PTSD involved. How couldn’t there be?

I agree with the point you’re making, but the line:

“NU is clearly a top 1/2 quality or maybe top 10 quality in the B1G.”

I’m gonna need to see several more games before I’m on board with that statement. Again, PTSD.

And no offense to our veterans and service members, I sincerely respect and appreciate you!

 

[Stan Raymond]

Yeah, the point I'm trying to make is that our fans seem to think that Colorado would get smoked vs literally any B1G team if they played a road game today. (Presumably bc the B1G trenches are just too big/strong)

So I'm not sure why they see Colorado coming into Lincoln and beating NU. I assume most of it is PTSD/curse talk. I assume if you removed that you'd have a fanbase that was pretty comfortable with a -8 to -10 possible spread.

Colorado is just a bad team. bad in many areas. They just have a great QB and some good WRs, but that's it. They are like an old Texas Tech team, they'll outscore a few teams, but mostly they are going to lose, because they can't run the ball and their OL can't block and their defense is bad. Just don't understand how people can't see that, as that is what they showed in all their games under Sanders and especially last week. Any decent team that they play they will lose to like Nebraska, Kansas, Kansas State, Utah, Oklahoma State, and Arizona, maybe even UCF and Texas Tech. Colorado isn't good enough to go bowling this year, they will once again have a losing record.

Where Nebraska improved where we were bad, made big strides and should easily be a 7, 8, or 9 win team.

 

[HerbRedman]

There is definitely a lot of PTSD involved. How couldn’t there be?

I agree with the point you’re making, but the line:

“NU is clearly a top 1/2 quality or maybe top 10 quality in the B1G.”

I’m gonna need to see several more games before I’m on board with that statement. Again, PTSD.

And no offense to our veterans and service members, I sincerely respect and appreciate you!

I hear ya. I'm mostly going out on a limb.

I believe Nebraska will finish the year in the top 5-9 range of the B1G (probably middle of that range).

I could be dead wrong!

 

[Mavsker]

There's also the rivalry factor. Colorado will get up for the Nebraska game in a way they wouldn't for Rutger.

Colorado is also ranked higher in FPI than the following B1G teams.
- Purdue
- Wisconsin
- UCLA
- Illinois
- Rutger
- Minnesota
- Northwestern
- Indiana
- Michigan St

They're not an uncompetitive football team. They had one score losses against four ranked teams on the road last year. They're not going 0-9 against these teams.

 

[Stan Raymond]

There's also the rivalry factor. Colorado will get up for the Nebraska game in a way they wouldn't for Rutger.

Colorado is also ranked higher in FPI than the following B1G teams.
- Purdue
- Wisconsin
- UCLA
- Illinois
- Rutger
- Minnesota
- Northwestern
- Indiana
- Michigan St

They're not an uncompetitive football team. They had one score losses against four ranked teams on the road last year. They're not going 0-9 against these teams.

I'd take Purdue, Wisconsin, Rutgers, Indiana over Colorado on a neutral field. I'd take Illinois, Northwestern and Minnesota over Colorado at home. Shoot NDSU almost beat Colorado in Boulder with a 1st year HC and their starting Safety out.

About all the rivalry factor does for Colorado is increase the number of personal fouls.

 

[Mavsker]

I'd take Purdue, Wisconsin, Rutgers, Indiana over Colorado on a neutral field. I'd take Illinois, Northwestern and Minnesota over Colorado at home. Shoot NDSU almost beat Colorado in Boulder with a 1st year HC and their starting Safety out.

About all the rivalry factor does for Colorado is increase the number of personal fouls.

Yeah and NDSU is ranked higher than a couple of B1G teams NW IU and MSU

On a neutral field the higher FPI team wins on average. You can say CU is overrated in FPI and maybe they are, but FPI is at least based on data not feelings.

 

[Stan Raymond]

Yeah and NDSU is ranked higher than a couple of B1G teams NW IU and MSU

On a neutral field the higher FPI team wins on average. You can say CU is overrated in FPI and maybe they are, but FPI is at least based on data not feelings.

That is true. And FPI isn't very accurate with only 1 game of data. Give it 4 or 5 games and I like FPI, but not so much now.

Where do you see NDSU ranked higher than B1G teams? I don't usually see FCS and FBS mixed.

 

[Mavsker]

That is true. And FPI isn't very accurate with only 1 game of data. Give it 4 or 5 games and I like FPI, but not so much now.

Where do you see NDSU ranked higher than B1G teams? I don't usually see FCS and FBS mixed.

There's a version of SP+ with all mixed

 

[HerbRedman]

There's also the rivalry factor. Colorado will get up for the Nebraska game in a way they wouldn't for Rutger.

Colorado is also ranked higher in FPI than the following B1G teams.
- Purdue
- Wisconsin
- UCLA
- Illinois
- Rutger
- Minnesota
- Northwestern
- Indiana
- Michigan St

They're not an uncompetitive football team. They had one score losses against four ranked teams on the road last year. They're not going 0-9 against these teams.

Since we're in the circle of trust...the SP+ stuff about CU and NDSU have me a bit nervous.

That NDSU win was better than I had realized. CU not very good but having 2 of the top 5 draft picks will keep them in many games they don't deserve to be in.

I have not placed my bets yet bc I wanted to see how the week developed. I might actually end up taking CU +7.5. I'm getting scared about them scoring on just fluke TD plays so that even if we're clearly the better team they end up winning or covering. I'm getting a bit nervous.

Sorry @Stan Raymond i know this is betrayal.

I put some faith in Bill Connelly. Also I had UTEP as being a much improved team but the analytics folks are unanimous that they are gonna be one of the 20 worst teams in FBS again. That has me concerned as I had put some weight on our showing vs them, but it may be not as deserved as I had previously hoped.

I may just skip this -7.5 line and take the under. The 7.5 has me very scared at this point.

 

[Stan Raymond]

Since we're in the circle of trust...the SP+ stuff about CU and NDSU have me a bit nervous.

That NDSU win was better than I had realized. CU not very good but having 2 of the top 5 draft picks will keep them in many games they don't deserve to be in.

I have not placed my bets yet bc I wanted to see how the week developed. I might actually end up taking CU +7.5. I'm getting scared about them scoring on just fluke TD plays so that even if we're clearly the better team they end up winning or covering. I'm getting a bit nervous.

Sorry @Stan Raymond i know this is betrayal.

I put some faith in Bill Connelly. Also I had UTEP as being a much improved team but the analytics folks are unanimous that they are gonna be one of the 20 worst teams in FBS again. That has me concerned as I had put some weight on our showing vs them, but it may be not as deserved as I had previously hoped.

I may just skip this -7.5 line and take the under. The 7.5 has me very scared at this point.

I love analytics, but not at this point in the season. What analytics are accurate about Nebraska? The 1st team only played 40 minutes.

You watched both games, trust your eyes, who executed at a higher level? Who was in control? Who was dictating the action and who was reacting?

Stay strong, we are winning this one comfortably. Line play is huge and we can run on them unless they commit a lot of bodies, they can't run and can't protect their QB. Sanders and Hunter are good, but they are way overhyped at this point. Sanders isn't a top 5 pick, he is a top 3 QB, maybe top 10 pick. Hunter is amazing, but he isn't playing great on defense, he gave up 4 catches to NDSU players last week. He's got great ball skills, but his routes aren't anything special. We've got a lot of great athletes on defense, and assistant coaches, a DC and a HC that will give them a gameplan to be successful.

Unless we shoot ourselves in the foot, this is a win. And the days of shooting ourselves is over, this team is confident and trusts the coaches and each other.

 

[Papa...Football]

I hear ya. I'm mostly going out on a limb.

I believe Nebraska will finish the year in the top 5-9 range of the B1G (probably middle of that range).

I could be dead wrong!

And I hear you. I truly hope and think we can be as good as you say, I just need to see it on the field and in the W/L column first