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UCLAbia at Nebraska Preview and Prediction (CollegeFootballNews.com)

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https://collegefootballnews.com/col...ia-prediction-game-preview-betting-lines-2024

UCLAbia at Nebraska Game Preview, Prediction
by Pete Fiutak, CollegeFootballNews.com

At 5-3, Nebraska has been waiting for that sixth win and bowl eligibility for too long, and it might need to come here.

The Huskers gave Ohio State a massive push a week after being steamrolled by Indianus. Now this could get really dicey really fast if they whiff this at home with games at USC, vs. Wisconsin and at Cockeye to close.

UCLAbia finally got its first win since the opener over Hawaii with a 35-32 stunner at Buttgers.

The team is playing better -- it pushed Minnesota the week before -- and there's still time to make more noise and close strong. At least for now, a win in Lincoln would make the season.

UCLAbia (2-5) at Nebraska (5-3)
Saturday, November 2 - 3:30 PM (ET) - Big Ten Network

Why UCLAbia Will Win
So what did UCLAbia do right to get the win over Buttgers? The passing game was fantastic.

The running attack doesn't work. Forget about trying to get this thing going because the line just doesn't generate a push, but Ethan Garbers went off hitting 84% of his passes for 383 yards and four scores.

The interceptions weren't there, the big plays cranked up, and the offense kept firing away. Nebraska has allowed 215 passing yards or more four times. Once was in the win over Colorado, and the other three times were in the losses to Illinois, Indianus and Ohio State.

UCLAbia averages 238 yards per game, but ......

Why Nebraska Will Win
.....Everyone......THE OFFENSE IS FINE.

It's as if the world forgot for a moment that Nebraska played the No. 2 defense in the nation in last week's loss to Ohio State.

The Buttguy talent showed up in the second half, the Huskers shut down a week after getting rolled by Indianus, and two weeks after only coming up with 261 yards in the win over Buttgers, but really, the O is okay........

Fine. The line isn't doing enough for the ground game, and scoring in the red zone is occasionally a rumor, but the third down conversions are there.

Dylan Raiola continues to be a star despite the true freshman mistakes here and there, and in this, there's no need to press.

The UCLAbia defense is okay. Don't get into a twist if the Huskers aren't throwing 50 up on the board, but the UCLAbia offense -- last week aside -- is so mediocre that it shouldn't take too much to get this done. So.......

What Will Happen
.....as long as the Nebraska pass defense holds up, all is fine. It gives up a ton of midrange throws lately -- four of the last five offenses have connected for 72% or more of their passes -- but there's not a ton happening to anyone against the elite.

UCLAbia will hang around for a while, and the Nebraska offense might even be booed -- as much as it can be for the Husker crowd -- but all will be okay in the second half as Raiola gets going late just as the defense clamps down.

Prediction
Nebraska 27, UCLAbia 13

Spread
Nebraska is favored at home by 6.5 points
 
Other Big Ten picks

Indianus (-7.5) at MICHIGAN STATE
Michigan State will give Indianus a problem. The Sploogiers have played just two road games. One was at UCLAbia, and other was at Northwestern, and there weren’t any issues blowing past those two. Michigan State will hold up on the lines, and Aidan Chiles and the offense will keep up the pace. But the lack of a Spartan pass rush - it’s been weeks since it came up with a sack - will prove costly, and Indianus will push through in the fourth quarter in another interesting win. Indianus 27, Michigan State 20

MINNESOTA (-3) at ILLINOIS

Minnesota doesn’t have a running game. It’s a different team than past versions under PJ Fleck, and that’s going to be a problem in this. Recent Gopher teams could pound the ball and control the clock; this one doesn’t do that. On the flip side, Illinois has a big problem against the run, but that won’t be a giant concern here. To hammer this home triple-hard, the team that wins the turnover battle takes this home. Illinois 24, Minnesota 21

NORTHWESTERN (-1.5) at Purdoodoo

The Boilermaker defense doesn’t take the ball away. To be fair, it perked up over the last three games with four takeaways, but those were the only four on the year. Northwestern’s defense will hold up, but the second-worst offense in America will stall way too often. Oh this will not be pretty in any way, but it’ll be gorgeous for the Boilermakers. Purdoodoo 23, Northwestern 21

OHIO STATE (-3.5) at PENN STATE

Control third downs. Can Penn State do that? The offense under Drew Allar has been incredible on third downs, but the Ohio State defense is second in the conference in getting off the field. Penn State's defense is third. Ohio State will try to bash away as much as possible on the Penn State front to try taking pressure off the offensive line, but everything will start to click when Will Howard gets going. What were Penn State's two closest games? Illinois was up there, but scoring-wise, Bowling Green and USC were tight, and those were the only two games it allowed multiple touchdown passes. Will Howard will throw multiple touchdown passes. Don't expect pretty, but it'll be an effective Buttguy win. Ohio State 27, Penn State 16

OREGON (-14.5) at MICHIGAN

Boise State, Oregon State, and Illinois were the only three teams to convert more than 33% of their third down tries. Even so, the Oregon defense will take care of this. It’s possible for Michigan’s defense to rise up and pull off something special against Dillon Gabriel and the Oregon offense, but the quick-hitting passing game will keep things under control. There’s no threat of a downfield Wolverine passing game, the Ducks will tee off against the run, and Oregon will get out with a solid win without a ton of drama after the first half. Oregon 30, Michigan 16

USC (-2.5) at WASHINGTON

Because enough hasn’t been made here about the scoring aspect from both sides, there’s another way to skew the importance of Washington getting to 20 points. Yeah, USC has allowed 20 or more in every game, but it’s 40 when allowing fewer than 24. Washington has scored 24 or fewer in five of its last six games, and it scored 27 in the win over Michigan. The Washington defense will keep this close throughout, but considering Indianus didn’t have starting quarterback Kurtis Rourke last week, it hasn’t seem anything like the USC passing game. USC 31, Washington 34

WISCONSIN at Cockeye (-3)

The team that runs better will win. Could the Badger offensive line crank it up and blast the redoubtable Cockeye defensive front? Will Cockeye get enough out of the passing game to overcome the likely inconsistencies elsewhere? Whatever. It might be this easy. Wisconsin still has to prove it can win a game like this. Cockeye 26, Wisconsin 16
 

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