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Non-con Margin of Victory... >9 wins vs. < 9wins

Blakejc

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As much as we want to predetermine the outcomes and simply say we'll be 3-0 heading into conference play, the results matter. How dominant we are in the non-con will tell us a lot about our chances to win a bunch of games in conference play.

In 9+ win seasons since 2008 our non-conference Margin of Victory is +24.12

In <9 win seasons our non-conference Margin of Victory is +7.72

The one outlier is 2021 where we went 3-9 but had a +21 M.O.V in non-con. Not shocking, as statistically speaking that team had better odds of going 9-3 than 3-9.

The results of the UTEP, Colorado, and Northern Cockeye games are going to be predictive of our season as a whole.74226689341__2AFAD44E-3D6D-4DB3-AE67-0A6024261432 copy.jpg
 
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Data. Gotta love it and gotta hate it.

That's why 3-9 was so utterly weird, and 2021 was a statistical anomaly.
 

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