Have you watched Gonzaga play? We would be favored and I’m not saying we don’t win, I’m just saying stylistically their strengths would match our weaknesses.
-
Welcome to The Platinum Board! We are a Nebraska Cornhuskers news source and community. Please click "Log In" or "Register" above to gain access to the forums.
Nebrasketball: Quad breakdown + odds to dance ** Updated 2/9/26 **
- Thread starter PonyBoy
- Start date
- Featured
Schedule detail
I really do not want to play Saint Louis if possible. Their play style is not great for us
Gotta beat them all to win the natty
84 NET before tonight's game and they just beat #10 (11 NET) Michigan State 76-73.
75 NET qualifies as Q1 for our road win against the Gophers.
Translation:
"I may be a rising star in the podcast world, but I'm scared of an Atlantic 10 team that would be a double digit underdog to Nebraska, and that makes me a giant pussy."
Gonzaga lost a quad 3 game tonight at The University of Portland.
Hmmmm you’re usually a bit more nuanced than this
The Billikens shoot 27 threes a game (45th nationally) and are 2nd in the country in 3PM Make % at 41.3%. NU’s defense is designed to allow 3 point shots. They also have great size and a really good big in Robbie Avila (remember him from Indiana State a few years ago?).
I’d much rather wind up playing UCF. Miami (FL) or SMU or some random power conference team that frankly isn’t that good that makes its way to the 7-10 line in the second round than a 30+ win SLU team that is a terrible stylistic matchup for us. You see it pretty regularly in the tournament where a better team will lose because a team goes on fire from 3. Hell, it happened to us last time we made the tournament with A&M making 57% from 3 and they were a terrible three point shooting team.
I'm aware of what SLU does offensively, and I can understand why you would think that type of team will give Nebraska fits.
But you're forgetting about the demise of the Atlantic 10 Conference. Over the last 7 seasons, the A10 is only 1-10 vs. high major opponents in the NCAA tourney. They really haven't had any prolonged success since Dan Hurley was at Rhode Island, clear back in the 2017 and 2018 NCAA tournaments.
The league also hasn't beaten a single team slotted higher than a 5 seed since Jim Larranaga and Shaka Smart were coaching nearly 15 years ago.
As for the Texas A&M comparison, the Aggies kicked Nebraska's ass because they were a dominant rebounding team. THey pulled down 19 defensive rebounds and had 3 times as many 2nd chance points as the Huskers. Yes, they shot the 3 pointer well, but they were far too athletic in the paint for the Huskers which led to a lot more possessions, while Nebraska was basically one shot and done on nearly every trip down the floor.
SLU is a very good rebounding team. But they're dominating in a weak conference. They wouldn't be putting up those big numbers in the Big Ten. On the flipside, A&M was absolutely one of the top rebounding teams in the SEC, which was the best league the country that year.
We also couldn’t stop aTm athletes in one on one situations. They were dribble driving around our defenders with relative ease. I don’t see many teams being able to do that to this version of Nebrasketball. Especially St. Louis.
Again, I never said we wouldn’t be favored and wouldn’t win the game, all I said is stylistically it’s not a great matchup, apparently your reading comprehension is still third grade level
I understand exactly what you wrote. Stylistically speaking, Miami of Ohio is also not a "great matchup." But they haven't played a Quad 1 game all season. St. Louis is a "tough matchup" as well stylistically. But they haven't played a top 40 team all season.
NIL and the portal has really shifted the power back to the high majors in the NCAA tourney over the last couple of seasons. There are fewer and fewer upsets. And that's because all the talent and experience is flowing back into the schools with the most money and notoriety. That talent uptick is now preparing high major teams for the NCAA tourney at a much higher clip.
Nebraska is going to have issues with teams that showcase a lot of star power and NBA players, who are also from one of the high major leagues. Assuming Nebraska is healthy, they will roll through any mid major program in the tourney. And Gonzaga is now fitting into that mix.
They could seriously end up as a 5 or a 6 seed. Aside from a 30 point neutral site win over Kentucky in early December, the Zags have been very pedestrian.
Gophers are now 72 in the NET. +1 to our Q1 win.
(bball-dot-net) hasn't updated their NET rankings but other sites have.
SLU is 24th in KenPom with a top 30 O and D RTG while also playing a style that takes advantage of what we like to do defensively.
I’d much rather play SMU (38), Miami FL (39), Georgia (41), UCF (44), etc who are much more in line with a traditional 7-10 seed’s profile than a top 25 team in the second round. If you want to do the lazy “they ain’t played nobody Pawl!” thing that’s fine. To each their own.
Re-A&M game in 2024 - you’re pretty obviously taking what I said out of context and trying to dismiss them shooting 57% from 3 for some reason. Don’t really need you to lecture me on how much more athletic they were than NU - I wasn’t comparing them stylistically or athletically to St. Louis. I was simply pointing out the shot out of their minds from 3 against us (which they did).
Everybody gets what you're saying.
Of those on that level ... That we probably beat soundly... They have a potential of having a freak shooting day and being difficult. It doesn't mean we're scared of them. Just that of "this group" they're the most likely we can struggle with.
@Cornicator just has to be macho and pretend like it's more masculine to not acknowledge upsets happen and certain stylistic play make it slightly more likely.
Hold on. My point here is college basketball made a significant shift in the last 24 months. The number of upsets has gone down dramatically. Outside of the Mountain West, which has some outstanding coaches and decent NIL for basketball, the number of mid major teams are becoming less and less competitive.
I just think Nebraska is going to benefit from that trend, and if they're healthy, its the teams with true star power and 2 or more NBA 1st rounder caliber players that will give them fits.
Also, if you look at Bart Torvik performance metrics vs. the top 100 teams in the country, a team like SLU is barely top 35, and Gonzaga is more in line with reality.
Bart Torvik Efficiencies vs. top 100 opponents
Today is a “do not fuck this up” game at Rutgers for seeding purposes.
Fucking losers just lost at home to Maryland.
They blew that game