Nebraska vs Rutgers line

[Dell Husker]

Opens as a pickem

 

[BorWhiskey]

FanDuels book has us as 2.5 point favorites.

In think Indiana was the second best team we’ve played this year. I think Rutgers is better than them mainly because their defense is better and their offense will play ball control. If we have an undisciplined game or a couple turnovers I think they’ll beat us. If our passing game is taking advantage of their injured secondary then I see us winning by a couple scores like last night.

 

[Kaladin]

ESPN’s analytic model has Rutgers as the faves

 

[BorWhiskey]

ESPN’s analytic model has Rutgers as the faves

Our defensive stats are amazingly bad. And Rutgers offensive stats are just plain bad. Specifically, they do alright on the ground over the course of the year (not against either Cockeye or tOSU). We show as getting gashed on the ground. So the computers are going to believe they can move the ball on the ground against us.

 

[Kaladin]

Had IU winning too

I think they had Nebraska winning

 

[turek420845]

Our offensive leaders almost double/triple theirs.

 

[Baron Winnebago]

Pretty simple formula for winning out in Piscataway. Get up early and put the pressure on Rutgers to make shit happen on offense.

 

[Adolph Coors]

Our defensive stats are amazingly bad. And Rutgers offensive stats are just plain bad. Specifically, they do alright on the ground over the course of the year (not against either Cockeyes or tOSU). We show as getting gashed on the ground. So the computers are going to believe they can move the ball on the ground against us.

doesnt that scream NU big win?

 

[Bootleg11]

When is the last time Nebraska won 2 games in a row? Isn’t there some stat that Frost never did it? Or was that 3 games in a row?

 

[Fargo Husker]

When is the last time Nebraska won 2 games in a row? Isn’t there some stat that Frost never did it? Or was that 3 games in a row?

Frost never won 3 in a row. Last time Nebraska won 3 in a row was 2016.

 

[Baron Winnebago]

Frost never won 3 in a row. Last time Nebraska won 3 in a row was 2016.

 

[BorWhiskey]

I watched the Io.wa Rutgers game tonight out of curiosity.

Rutgers run game is alright. Their OL seems to be about as good as ours. But they run with the QB more including what amounts to a wildcat by snapping it to their TE who’s lined up in the shotgun. I didn’t see a lot of great plays in the ground, then again I think Io.wa’s Defense looked really good. So who knows. I suspect they’ll end up with around 140 on us and a 4.5ypc average. The QB run game helps inflate the ground stats for them.

The key for our Defense, will actually be our offense. Their QB isn’t very good (backup). Really struggled with any sort of pressure. Sailed throws, threw picks, got sacked. He also is a one read guy, unless he’s given a lot of time. He’ll stare down his main target for longer than I imagine schiano wants, and will only come off of him when there is zero pressure.

So, if we can make them have to pass we should be able to get them off the field consistently. Our offense scores and they’ll have to pass.

Defensively they looked alright. No one stood out to me. Played soundly. Saw a lot of zone. They got picked on the outside in between the over and under men a lot. I didn’t see them attack much.

doesnt that scream NU big win?

 

[Cornicator]

Rutgers has a good defense and a terrible offense.
Nebraska has a good offense and a terrible defense.
Rutgers can rush the passer.
Nebraska can't protect their QB.
Ironically, both teams are terrible with Red Zone Defense.

Nebraska's ability to run the football, or lack thereof will decide the game.

Rutgers is 18th Nationally in Run Defense. But at this point in the season, you have to question how much of that is due to their defensive prowess and how much of it is due to their opponents. Rutgers has played the following rushing offenses:

Cockeye - 123rd in rushing offense
Temple - 126th in rushing offense
Boston College - 129th in rushing offense
Wagner - 126th IN THE FCS in rushing offense - They're averaging 1.6 yards per carry - I've never seen that at any level of college football.

So then they played Ohio State last week and allowed 250 yards and 8 yards per carry to Ohio State. Of course the Buckeyes will do that to a lot of teams, but Treyveon Henderson didn't even play in the game and Ohio State only threw the football 23 times.

Ohio State has a much better running game than Nebraska, but Nebraska is also a much better running team than Cockeye, Temple, BC, and Wagner. I think Nebraska's ability to run the ball will dictate this outcome.

Lastly, Rutgers has Aron Cruickshank. Every time he has faced Nebraska, he has returned a kick for a TD... literally every time, with two different teams. Let's NOT kick to that asshole.

 

[Fargo Husker]

Lastly, Rutgers has Aron Cruickshank. Every time he has faced Nebraska, he has returned a kick for a TD... literally every time, with two different teams. Let's NOT kick to that asshole.

This is an incomprehensibly stupid stat. Our special teams woes under Frost were truly unprecedented.

 

[2010sarenevercomingback]

When is the last time Nebraska won 2 games in a row? Isn’t there some stat that Frost never did it? Or was that 3 games in a row?

We won back to back against Fordham & Buffalo last year. Then back in 2019 against Illinois & Northern Illinois. Two back to backers in 2018.

Whee.

 

[Skerz4Life50]

Rutgers has a good defense and a terrible offense.
Nebraska has a good offense and a terrible defense.
Rutgers can rush the passer.
Nebraska can't protect their QB.
Ironically, both teams are terrible with Red Zone Defense.

Nebraska's ability to run the football, or lack thereof will decide the game.

Rutgers is 18th Nationally in Run Defense. But at this point in the season, you have to question how much of that is due to their defensive prowess and how much of it is due to their opponents. Rutgers has played the following rushing offenses:

Cockeye - 123rd in rushing offense
Temple - 126th in rushing offense
Boston College - 129th in rushing offense
Wagner - 126th IN THE FCS in rushing offense - They're averaging 1.6 yards per carry - I've never seen that at any level of college football.

So then they played Ohio State last week and allowed 250 yards and 8 yards per carry to Ohio State. Of course the Cuckeyes will do that to a lot of teams, but Treyveon Henderson didn't even play in the game and Ohio State only threw the football 23 times.

Ohio State has a much better running game than Nebraska, but Nebraska is also a much better running team than Cockeye, Temple, BC, and Wagner. I think Nebraska's ability to run the ball will dictate this outcome.

Lastly, Rutgers has Aron Cruickshank. Every time he has faced Nebraska, he has returned a kick for a TD... literally every time, with two different teams. Let's NOT kick to that asshole.

How long does the Big Ten usually take to review games and make their rules decisions? Aron Cruickshank was the player ejected for hitting the punter in the Ohio State game that caused the shouting match between Schiano and Day (play occurred in the 4th quarter). I don't believe it was a targeting call, so not sure how that ejection will factor in to our game, if at all, but there is definitely a chance he is out at least the 1st half...

*Edit to add that he seems to easily be Rutgers top receiver with 20 catches on the year (2nd has 11), 172 receiving yards (2nd has 114), and 2 of their 6 total receiving touchdowns. Also has a rushing touchdown. Hasn't really done anything in the return game so far this year.

 

[Bootleg11]

Wagner - 126th IN THE FCS in rushing offense - They're averaging 1.6 yards per carry - I've never seen that at any level of college football.

Dang that's hard to do.