NCAA Baseball Tournament Projections (5/24)

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With the final week of the season, D1Baseball will be updating their NCAA projections daily.

https://d1baseball.com/projections/field-of-64-projections-monday-may-24/

Last Five In
Indiana State
Indiana
Pittsburgh
California
Baylor

First Five Out
Louisville
Oklahoma
Long Beach State
Alabama
San Diego

Big Ten Teams In - 4
Indiana
Maryland
Michigan
Nebraska

Top 16 National Seeds
1. Arkansas
2. Vanderbilt
3. Texas
4. Arizona
5. Tennessee
6. Notre Dame
7. Mississippi State
8. Texas Tech
9. Stanford
10. East Carolina
11. TCU
12. Oregon
13. Mississippi
14. Florida
15. Gonzaga
16. Charlotte

NASHVILLE REGIONAL
#1 Vanderbilt
#4 Southeast Missouri State

#2 Connecticut
#3 Maryland

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EUGENE REGIONAL
#1 Oregon
#4 Northeastern

#2 Georgia Tech
#3 Indiana

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SOUTH BEND REGIONAL
#1 Notre Dame
#4 Central Michigan

#2 Michigan
#3 LSU

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LUBBOCK REGIONAL
#1 Texas Tech
#4 Abilene Christian

#2 Nebraska
#3 California

 

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2021 NCAA Baseball Tournament Final Projected Field Of 64

Conference tournament play is here and Selection Monday is just days away. Here is our latest bracket projection.

www.baseballamerica.com

Baseball America will also be updating their NCAA Tournament projections throughout the week.

In this update, Stanford and South Carolina join the hosts – but with a twist. South Carolina would be hosting as a No. 2 seed in this scenario, with Old Dominion as the No. 1 seed. ODU did not bid to host and therefore is not on the shortlist of 20 teams that the selection committee can pick from to host regionals. But the Monarchs are up to No. 12 in RPI – the best of any Conference USA team, are 16-6 in road games, 13-6 against top-50 RPI teams and 19-11 against top-100 RPI teams. Those metrics all stack up favorable when compared to any other potential No. 1 seed.

A traveling No. 1 seed would be unconventional in the modern version of the NCAA Tournament. The selection committee has not sent a top seed on the road since 2010 when Florida State was the No. 1 seed in the Norwich Regional, hosted by Connecticut. It previously was a more common part of the NCAA Tournament, but as more schools have invested more money in their facilities, more schools have met the hosting requirements.

In this year, however, because the NCAA changed to host selection process because it needed to allow for coronavirus testing facilities to be constructed at every regional host site – a process that takes weeks, not days – a traveling No. 1 seed is very much on the table. In addition to ODU, if Florida State, Miami or North Carolina State wins the ACC Tournament, or Oklahoma State wins the Big 12 Tournament, they could find themselves on the road as a No. 1 seed. Because they already are assured of playing on the road, making them a traveling No. 1 seed and therefore not denying them the reward of a home regional for their on-field success should make the decision more palatable.

Last Four In
Indiana State
Long Beach State
Duke
Louisville

First Four Out
Cockeye
Alabama
Oklahoma
Florida Atlantic

Next Four Out
Virginia Tech
South Carolina-Upstate
Ball State
Mercer

Big Ten Teams In - 4
Indiana
Maryland
Michigan
Nebraska

Top 16 National Seeds
1. Arkansas
2. Texas
3. Vanderbilt
4. Arizona
5. Notre Dame
6. Mississippi State
7. Tennessee
8. Texas Tech
9. East Carolina
10. TCU
11. Stanford
12. Mississippi
13. Charlotte
14. Oregon
15. Florida
16. Old Dominion

FORT WORTH REGIONAL
#1 TCU
#4 Stony Brook

#2 Nebraska
#3 Louisville

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STARKVILLE REGIONAL
#1 Mississippi State
#4 Southern

#2 Maryland
#3 Duke

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SOUTH BEND REGIONAL
#1 Notre Dame
#4 Central Michigan

#2 Michigan
#3 Indiana State

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GAINESVILLE REGIONAL
#1 Florida
#4 Northeastern

#2 Florida State
#3 Indiana