Huskers Stats - Relative to Opponent Averages

[2010sarenevercomingback]

Decided to use some of my generous employer's time to research my holy grail stat of how the Huskers have performed relative to their opponents' averages.

For example, if the Huskers rush for 200 yards against an opponent that averages allowing 150 per game, that's a +50 performance. If the Huskers allow 4 yards per carry when an opponent averages 3.5 YPC, that's a -0.5 performance. Matched up opponent defensive numbers vs. our offensive performance & vice versa. Put the performance is the "Perf" columns, positive numbers are that Husker unit overperforming vs. what the opponent typically allows, negative numbers are underperforming.

PPG = points per game
RYPG = rushing yards per game
YPC = yards per carry
PYPG = passing yards per game
YPA = yards per attempt
Comp% = completion percentage
TYPG = total yards per game

Would have been fun to dig deeper into efficiency stats & other stuff, but I don't have great data sets except looking stuff up manually, and this was as deep as I was willing to go. These numbers will be more & more insightful as the season progresses, & we've had multiple games where our 2s & 3s were on the field for significant amounts of time, but at the season halfway mark, it should at least show some early themes.

My takeaways: our rushing game ends up doing about what opponents typically allow. Passing is where we overachieve, in yardage & efficiency. Our D has overperformed across the board, even relative to the soft schedule. We're holding opponents to less efficiency in both rushing & passing than they typically have, as well as massively lower yardage totals. It's pretty similar to what we've seen with the eye test, but this provides at least some answers to the question is how much is us vs. how much is our softer schedule.


edit - corrected season averages put us underperforming a bit in rushing. Other numbers are similar to original post, although a bit less overperformance across the board.

 

[Blakejc]

You sure your math is right for RYPG? Feels like we should be about -40 or so. Vastly underperforming there.

 

[Irv]

Can you also run our numbers vis a vis the Carolina Panthers schedule?

 

[2010sarenevercomingback]

You sure your math is right for RYPG? Feels like we should be about -40 or so. Vastly underperforming there.

F'n A. I was off on one column for one game when summing season averages. Here's the correction. Will also update OP.

 

[Cornicator]

Decided to use some of my generous employer's time to research my holy grail stat of how the Huskers have performed relative to their opponents' averages.

For example, if the Huskers rush for 200 yards against an opponent that averages allowing 150 per game, that's a +50 performance. If the Huskers allow 4 yards per carry when an opponent averages 3.5 YPC, that's a -0.5 performance. Matched up opponent defensive numbers vs. our offensive performance & vice versa. Put the performance is the "Perf" columns, positive numbers are that Husker unit overperforming vs. what the opponent typically allows, negative numbers are underperforming.

PPG = points per game
RYPG = rushing yards per game
YPC = yards per carry
PYPG = passing yards per game
YPA = yards per attempt
Comp% = completion percentage
TYPG = total yards per game

Would have been fun to dig deeper into efficiency stats & other stuff, but I don't have great data sets except looking stuff up manually, and this was as deep as I was willing to go. These numbers will be more & more insightful as the season progresses, & we've had multiple games where our 2s & 3s were on the field for significant amounts of time, but at the season halfway mark, it should at least show some early themes.

My takeaways: our rushing game ends up doing about what opponents typically allow. Passing is where we overachieve, in yardage & efficiency. Our D has overperformed across the board, even relative to the soft schedule. We're holding opponents to less efficiency in both rushing & passing than they typically have, as well as massively lower yardage totals. It's pretty similar to what we've seen with the eye test, but this provides at least some answers to the question is how much is us vs. how much is our softer schedule.


edit - corrected season averages put us underperforming a bit in rushing. Other numbers are similar to original post, although a bit less overperformance across the board.

View attachment 43046

Good stuff. That Purdoodoo under should have been 35. Huskers really got screwed on that no touchdown call.

I imagine Nebraska's points scored vs. Indianus will be much higher than their scoring defense average. They have played 5 putrid offenses. Maryland moved the ball on them fine, but also had 5 personal foul penalties and 95 yards in penalty yards.

 

[Jim14510]

Decided to use some of my generous employer's time to research my holy grail stat of how the Huskers have performed relative to their opponents' averages.

For example, if the Huskers rush for 200 yards against an opponent that averages allowing 150 per game, that's a +50 performance. If the Huskers allow 4 yards per carry when an opponent averages 3.5 YPC, that's a -0.5 performance. Matched up opponent defensive numbers vs. our offensive performance & vice versa. Put the performance is the "Perf" columns, positive numbers are that Husker unit overperforming vs. what the opponent typically allows, negative numbers are underperforming.

PPG = points per game
RYPG = rushing yards per game
YPC = yards per carry
PYPG = passing yards per game
YPA = yards per attempt
Comp% = completion percentage
TYPG = total yards per game

Would have been fun to dig deeper into efficiency stats & other stuff, but I don't have great data sets except looking stuff up manually, and this was as deep as I was willing to go. These numbers will be more & more insightful as the season progresses, & we've had multiple games where our 2s & 3s were on the field for significant amounts of time, but at the season halfway mark, it should at least show some early themes.

My takeaways: our rushing game ends up doing about what opponents typically allow. Passing is where we overachieve, in yardage & efficiency. Our D has overperformed across the board, even relative to the soft schedule. We're holding opponents to less efficiency in both rushing & passing than they typically have, as well as massively lower yardage totals. It's pretty similar to what we've seen with the eye test, but this provides at least some answers to the question is how much is us vs. how much is our softer schedule.


edit - corrected season averages put us underperforming a bit in rushing. Other numbers are similar to original post, although a bit less overperformance across the board.

View attachment 43046

Would be really cool if you keep this updated.

 

[2010sarenevercomingback]

Would be really cool if you keep this updated.

It would. Unfortunately for you, I'm not cool at all.

 

[Jim14510]

It would. Unfortunately for you, I'm not cool at all.

But you could be cool for once in your life and do it.

 

[Blakejc]

Good stuff. That Purdoodoo under should have been 35. Huskers really got screwed on that no touchdown call.

I imagine Nebraska's points scored vs. Indianus will be much higher than their scoring defense average. They have played 5 putrid offenses. Maryland moved the ball on them fine, but also had 5 personal foul penalties and 95 yards in penalty yards.

If this Nebraska team plays a clean game and maximizes their opportunities, they win. They probably go 10-2 if they do that the last 6. However, they’ve yet to do that in any game this year. So much meat on the bone. We’ve probably left 40+ points out there.

Now, the question is, is that a positive or a negative? The plays are there and we’re just not making them, but should we expect to make those plays against better competition?

 

[Kaladin]

Does this mean we beat Indianus

 

[Jim14510]

Does this mean we beat Indianus

Absolutely