TalaricoHusker said:

so does this mean people are taking cincy hard here or what I don’t understand betting very well

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Kaladin said:

If the line moved down from -6.5 to -5.5, here’s what that usually signals:

1. Reverse Line Movement (RLM)

This is when the line moves opposite of the public money.

• You said earlier: most of the money was on Nebraska (NU).
• If that’s still true but the line drops from -6.5 → -5.5, it likely means:
  • Respected sharp money (professional bettors) has come in on the other team.
  • Sportsbooks are reacting to that sharp action, even if the public is still pounding NU.

2. Possible Reasons
a) Sharps See Value on the Opponent

• They may think Nebraska is overvalued, or that matchup data favors the underdog more than models suggest.
• This happens a lot when the early hype is on the favorite.

b) Injury or Information Shift

• Sometimes insider news — like a player injury, weather changes, or practice reports — triggers sharp bets and line adjustments.

c) Book Balancing

• The book may be managing liability.
  • If too much exposure builds on NU and sharp action takes the dog, they shade the line lower to balance the risk.

3. Market Sentiment

A line drop like this is a warning sign:

The market (especially sharp bettors) may no longer agree with the “Nebraska should be -14” narrative.

• It could mean the true value is closer to -5.5 or -6 — not a double-digit favorite.

4. What to Watch

• If it drops further, like to -5 or -4.5 → strong sharp action on the underdog.
• If it bounces back up, like to -6 or -6.5 → books adjusted but still see heavy buyback on Nebraska.

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Kaladin said:

Damn hartzog pulling double duty

That’s concerning

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biscuitgaze01 said:

What was the tweet? Its deleted.

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vailhusker said:

Interesting YouTubeTV on my laptop is about a play ahead of YouTubeTV on my TV.

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biscuitgaze01 said:

Fully mentally prepared for a meltdown. I have such bad battered wife syndrome as it relates to this fucking program.

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biscuitgaze01 said:

Fully mentally prepared for a meltdown. I have such bad battered wife syndrome as it relates to this fucking program.

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herbsinator said:

Good god, pull yourself together man

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