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Currently Nebraska's win total is sitting at 7.5, with bets trending slightly towards the over. I figured that it would be helpful to see what our schedule looks like for the year - how each team is expected to do and how the bets are trending.
Cincinnati - 6.5
Trending - Under
While Cincinnati has returning talent, particularly on the offensive and defensive lines, and has been active in the transfer portal to address needs, the combination of a challenging schedule in a tough conference and the need for new players to perform at a high level likely contributes to the leaning towards the under on their 6.5 win total.
Akron - 4.5
Trending - Under
While there's a potential for the offense to show growth with quarterback Ben Finley and a revamped offensive line and receivers, the combination of the postseason ban, a challenging schedule, and significant losses on defense makes hitting the over on 4.5 wins a difficult task for the Akron Zips in 2025.
Houston Christian - 6.5
Trending - Under
A challenging schedule, significant roster turnover, particularly on the offensive line and in the secondary, and low preseason expectations within their conference, it's understandable why Houston Christian is trending towards the under on their projected win total.
Michigan - 8.5
Trending - Over
While Michigan faces a challenging schedule and is in a period of transition under second-year head coach Sherrone Moore, the combination of defensive strength, an upgraded quarterback situation and a favorable schedule leads many to believe they will exceed their projected win total of 8.5 for the upcoming season.
Michigan St - 5.5
Trending - Under
While the Spartans have a respected coach in Jonathan Smith and some key offensive pieces like Chiles and the transfer portal additions, the combination of a difficult schedule, defensive weaknesses, and the need for new additions to gel and perform at a high level are all factors that contribute to the leaning towards the under.
Maryland - 6.5
Trending - Under
Despite a relatively favorable schedule within the Big Ten and some promising young talent, the combination of significant departures on offense, a rebuilding defense, and a challenging conference environment are leading oddsmakers and bettors to favor the under.
Minnesota - 6.5
Trending - Over
Minnesota faces tough competition in the Big Ten, particularly on the road, but the combination of a relatively favorable schedule, experienced coaching, returning talent on offense and defense, and a strong underdog mentality all contribute to the betting trend favoring them to exceed their 6.5-win total.
Northwestern - 3.5
Trending - Over
The combination of Northwestern's historical tendency to exceed low expectations, the addition of a talented quarterback, the return of key defensive players, and the overall improvement in program management all contribute to the betting trend favoring them to exceed the 3.5 win total.
USC - 7.5
Trending - Over
USC's road to exceeding 7.5 wins is not without its challenges, particularly in a strong Big Ten conference, the improvements on defense, the potential of the offense, and the team's ability to respond to pressure are leading factors in the betting trends favoring the over.
UCLA - 5.5
Trending - Under
The combination of a very difficult schedule, significant roster turnover, particularly on offense and defense, and the challenges of adapting to a new, more competitive conference are leading oddsmakers and bettors to favor the under on UCLA's 5.5 win total in 2025. While there's hope for improvement under Coach Foster and with a talented, albeit unproven, quarterback in Nico Iamaleava, the Bruins will have to overcome a steep learning curve to exceed expectations in the upcoming season.
Penn St - 10.5
Trending - Under
while Penn State has a talented roster, stable coaching, and a relatively easy non-conference schedule, concerns surrounding their ability to win crucial games against top opponents in the Big Ten and the need for quarterback Drew Allar to perform more consistently in big moments are leading factors driving the betting trend towards the under on their 10.5 win total.
Cockeye - 7.5
Trending - Under
The combination of a very difficult schedule, a rebuilding defense, and uncertainties surrounding the offense and its ability to consistently produce against Big Ten competition are leading factors driving the betting trend towards the under on their 7.5 win total.
Nebraska's opponents are averaging a projected win total of 6.58, with 8 opponents trending towards hitting their under and only 4 trending to hit their over. I know that there has been a lot of talk about Nebraska's schedule for this upcoming season, but this really helped me understand just how manageable it really is. 8-4 is very obtainable. And if the ball bounces our way a time or two, 10 wins is legitimately not out of the picture. That being said, past experiences make us all hyper-aware that 6-6 is also a realistic option for this season.
With all of this in mind, per GoogleAI, here are the estimated odds for each outcome for this upcoming season:
12-0 -- .5%
11-1 -- 3%
10-2 -- 10%
9-3 -- 20%
8-4 -- 35%
7-5 -- 20%
6-6 -- 7%
5-7 or worse -- 4.5%
Cincinnati - 6.5
Trending - Under
While Cincinnati has returning talent, particularly on the offensive and defensive lines, and has been active in the transfer portal to address needs, the combination of a challenging schedule in a tough conference and the need for new players to perform at a high level likely contributes to the leaning towards the under on their 6.5 win total.
Akron - 4.5
Trending - Under
While there's a potential for the offense to show growth with quarterback Ben Finley and a revamped offensive line and receivers, the combination of the postseason ban, a challenging schedule, and significant losses on defense makes hitting the over on 4.5 wins a difficult task for the Akron Zips in 2025.
Houston Christian - 6.5
Trending - Under
A challenging schedule, significant roster turnover, particularly on the offensive line and in the secondary, and low preseason expectations within their conference, it's understandable why Houston Christian is trending towards the under on their projected win total.
Michigan - 8.5
Trending - Over
While Michigan faces a challenging schedule and is in a period of transition under second-year head coach Sherrone Moore, the combination of defensive strength, an upgraded quarterback situation and a favorable schedule leads many to believe they will exceed their projected win total of 8.5 for the upcoming season.
Michigan St - 5.5
Trending - Under
While the Spartans have a respected coach in Jonathan Smith and some key offensive pieces like Chiles and the transfer portal additions, the combination of a difficult schedule, defensive weaknesses, and the need for new additions to gel and perform at a high level are all factors that contribute to the leaning towards the under.
Maryland - 6.5
Trending - Under
Despite a relatively favorable schedule within the Big Ten and some promising young talent, the combination of significant departures on offense, a rebuilding defense, and a challenging conference environment are leading oddsmakers and bettors to favor the under.
Minnesota - 6.5
Trending - Over
Minnesota faces tough competition in the Big Ten, particularly on the road, but the combination of a relatively favorable schedule, experienced coaching, returning talent on offense and defense, and a strong underdog mentality all contribute to the betting trend favoring them to exceed their 6.5-win total.
Northwestern - 3.5
Trending - Over
The combination of Northwestern's historical tendency to exceed low expectations, the addition of a talented quarterback, the return of key defensive players, and the overall improvement in program management all contribute to the betting trend favoring them to exceed the 3.5 win total.
USC - 7.5
Trending - Over
USC's road to exceeding 7.5 wins is not without its challenges, particularly in a strong Big Ten conference, the improvements on defense, the potential of the offense, and the team's ability to respond to pressure are leading factors in the betting trends favoring the over.
UCLA - 5.5
Trending - Under
The combination of a very difficult schedule, significant roster turnover, particularly on offense and defense, and the challenges of adapting to a new, more competitive conference are leading oddsmakers and bettors to favor the under on UCLA's 5.5 win total in 2025. While there's hope for improvement under Coach Foster and with a talented, albeit unproven, quarterback in Nico Iamaleava, the Bruins will have to overcome a steep learning curve to exceed expectations in the upcoming season.
Penn St - 10.5
Trending - Under
while Penn State has a talented roster, stable coaching, and a relatively easy non-conference schedule, concerns surrounding their ability to win crucial games against top opponents in the Big Ten and the need for quarterback Drew Allar to perform more consistently in big moments are leading factors driving the betting trend towards the under on their 10.5 win total.
Cockeye - 7.5
Trending - Under
The combination of a very difficult schedule, a rebuilding defense, and uncertainties surrounding the offense and its ability to consistently produce against Big Ten competition are leading factors driving the betting trend towards the under on their 7.5 win total.
Nebraska's opponents are averaging a projected win total of 6.58, with 8 opponents trending towards hitting their under and only 4 trending to hit their over. I know that there has been a lot of talk about Nebraska's schedule for this upcoming season, but this really helped me understand just how manageable it really is. 8-4 is very obtainable. And if the ball bounces our way a time or two, 10 wins is legitimately not out of the picture. That being said, past experiences make us all hyper-aware that 6-6 is also a realistic option for this season.
With all of this in mind, per GoogleAI, here are the estimated odds for each outcome for this upcoming season:
12-0 -- .5%
11-1 -- 3%
10-2 -- 10%
9-3 -- 20%
8-4 -- 35%
7-5 -- 20%
6-6 -- 7%
5-7 or worse -- 4.5%