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I looked at about 10 high scoring, lower conference transfers out of last year's portal and it looks like the "typical" outcome is about a 30-40% haircut on PPG.
Williams is a weird dude given that he started every game for us after coming off the bench at Charlotte most of his last year there.
Probably depends on how clear the path is for Kaelin to play. Like if Raiola is obviously awesome and is going to be a 3 and done guy, I can see Danny sticking around knowing he's likely the guy after. Now if Raiola isn't good and/or Kaelin feels like he's close but not getting the opportunity...
I don't know how his game would translate to a higher level, but you can always make room for a guy who can score at 3 levels.
That said, I just don't think Fiddler is coming so whatever.